Центр оборонних стратегій

Russia’s war on Ukraine. 28.02.25

On the Kursk direction, battles continued near Staraya Sorochina and Malaya Loknia. There were attempts to capture Nikolskiy and Novaya Sorochina.

On the Kharkiv direction, Russian forces continued to advance in the area of Vovchansk.

On the Kupyansk direction, Russian forces conducted offensive actions in the area of Dvorichna, Kindrashivka, Stroyivka, Stepova Novosilka, Petropavlivka, Zahryzove, and Hrekivka. They attempted to advance west of Lozova and east of Kopanky.

Ukrainian Defense forces counterattacked near Dvorichna.

On the Lyman direction, Russian forces advanced toward Zelena Dolyna, Novolyubivka, Yampolivka, Torske, and Kolodyazi. They attempted to move north and northwest of Ivanivka.

On the Siversk direction, Russian forces conducted offensive actions in the area of Bilohorivka, Hryhorivka, and Verkhnokamianske.

Ukrainian Defense forces hold positions at the chalk quarry south of Bilohorivka and counterattack in the area.

On the Kramatorsk direction, Russian forces conducted offensive actions near and within Chasiv Yar, near Vasyukivka, in the direction of Novomarkove, and near Stupochky.

Ukrainian Defense forces counterattack in the northern part of Chasiv Yar.

On the Toretsk direction, Russian forces conducted offensive actions near Toretsk and in the area of Krymske.

Ukrainian Defense forces advanced in the southwestern part of Toretsk.

On the Pokrovsk direction, Russian forces continued attacks in the areas of Tarasivka, Vodyane Druhe, Novotoretske, Myroliubivka, Promin, Lysivka, Dachenske, Zvirove, Leontovychi, Kotlyne, Udachne, Uspenivka, Pishchane, Preobrazhenka, Novooleksandrivka, and Zaporizhzhia. They advanced west of Nadiivka. They attempted to advance south of Kalynove, northwest of Nadiivka, west of Zaporizhzhia, and in the direction of Kotlyarivka and Preobrazhenka.

Ukrainian Defense forces counterattacked near Uspenivka and Udachne and advanced east of Kotlyne.

On the Novopavlivka direction, Russian forces conducted offensive actions in the area of Konstyantynopil, Andriivka, and Rozdolne. They advanced south of Andriivka and southeast of Konstyantynopil.

On the Huliaypole direction, Russian forces conducted offensive actions in the area of Burlatske and Pryvilne. They advanced in the direction of Shevchenkove and in the area of Dniproenerhiya and Novopil. They captured Skudne. The enemy is advancing only along the Mokri Yaly River.

On the Orikhiv direction, Russian forces conducted offensive actions in the direction of Charivne, near Stepove, Kamianske, Novoandriivka, and Pyatykhatky. They attempted to advance west of Pyatykhatky in the direction of Lobkove and Stepove.

General conclusion:

  • The enemy advances near Burlatske, Pryvilne, Sverdlivkovo, and Andriivka.
  • The enemy attempts to advance northward parallel to the administrative border of Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts in the area of Velyka Novosilka, moving toward the Donetsk–Zaporizhzhia highway.

Change in the line of contact (LoC):

  • There were 128 combat engagements on various fronts.
  • On the Kharkiv direction, the enemy attempted six times to break through Ukrainian defensive lines in the direction of Vovchansk and Kindrashivka.
  • On the Lyman direction, the enemy attacked six times and attempted to penetrate defenses near Yampolivka, Torske, Zelena Dolyna, and Kolodyazi.
  • On the Siversk direction, two enemy attacks in the area of Bilohorivka were successfully repelled.
  • On the Kramatorsk direction, the occupiers attacked twice in the areas of Vasyukivka and Predtechyne.
  • On the Toretsk direction, the enemy carried out eleven attacks in the areas of Krymske and Toretsk.
  • On the Pokrovsk direction, forty-nine enemy assaults were repelled in the direction of Berezivka, Myrne, Promin, Lysivka, Pokrovsk, Novoukrainka, Zvirove, Kotlyne, Udachne, Nadiivka, Uspenivka, Preobrazhenka, Zaporizhzhia, Andriivka, Pishchane, Myroliubivka, and Bohdanivka.
  • On the Novopavlivka direction, the enemy carried out sixteen attacks in the areas of Konstyantynopil, Novopil, Novodarivka, Skudne, and Burlatske.
  • On the Huliaypole direction, the enemy attacked six times in the areas of Charivne.
  • On the Orikhiv Direction, the occupying forces stormed the positions of Ukrainian Defense Forces nine times in the areas of Stepove, Pyatykhatky, and Kamianske.
  • Ukrainian Defense forces continue operations in Kursk Oblast and repelled eleven enemy assaults. The enemy carried out sixteen airstrikes.
  • In the Black Sea-Azov naval operational area, the enemy naval group on combat duty consists of:
    • Mediterranean Sea: 4 ships, including 3 cruise missile carriers; the total salvo is 26 cruise missiles.

Changes in the enemy disposition:

  • 177th Separate Marines Regiment of the Caspian Fleet operates near Guevo.
  • 153rd Tank Regiment of the 47th Tank Division of the 1st Tank Army operates near Stepova Novosilka, while the 16th Separate SOF Brigade operates near Makiivka.
  • 1102nd Motorized Rifle Regiment and the 7th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 3rd Army Corps operate near Bilohorivka.
  • 200th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 14th Army Corps and the 331st Airborne Regiment of the 98th Airborne Division engage in Chasiv Yar, while the 1442nd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 6th Motorized Rifle Division of the 3rd Army Corps operates near Stupochky.
  • 57th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 5th Combined Arms Army operates near Novosilka, while the 5th Separate Tank Brigade of the 36th Combined Arms Army operates near Novoocheretuvate and Skudne.

Possible operation situation developments:

  • Once the enemy sufficiently expands its bridgeheads on the Chornyi Zherebets River, the 25th Army, with forces of the 67th Motorized Rifle Division and the 164th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade, will sharply intensify actions toward Torske and Yampolivka. This will mark the second stage of pushing “Khortytsia” OSG out of the bridgehead east of the Chornyi Zherebets River on the Lyman direction.
  • On the Toretsk direction, the enemy command is finalizing the deployment of the 8th Combined Arms Army within the operational zone of the 51st Combined Arms Army and is expected to launch an operation shortly, aiming to break through toward the area south and west of Kostyantynivka.
  • The operational plan of the 8th Combined Arms Army on the Kostyantynivka direction is to envelop the tactical group of the “Khortytsia” OSG, which is defending south of Kostyantynivka between Oleksandropil and Tarasivka from the flanks. The enemy aims to encircle and destroy this group or, if unable to do so, force it to withdraw from the area south of Kostyantynivka in a northwestern direction under the threat of encirclement. The ultimate goal of these actions is a two-pronged breakthrough from the southwest and southeast toward the area of Stepanivka – Berestok – Pleshchiivka – Yablunivka, followed by a simultaneous assault on Kostyantynivka from this area and from the direction of Chasiv Yar.
  • After the first stage (reaching the Poltavka–Pleshchiivka line), the enemy’s 3rd Combined Arms Army, reinforced by an airborne forces group, will attempt a rapid breakthrough from the bridgehead on the Siverskyi Donets–Donbas canal in the Chasiv Yar area, advancing from the northeast toward Kostyantynivka.

Russian operational losses from 23.02.22 to 28.02.25

Personnel – almost 874,560 (+1,060);

Tanks – 10,222 (+13);

Armored combat vehicles – 21,134 (+17);

Artillery systems – 23,847 (+54);

Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,303 (+1);

Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 1,087 (0);

Vehicles and fuel tanks – 38,994 (+126);

Aircraft – 370 (0);

Helicopters – 331 (0);

UAV operational and tactical level – 27,274 (+172);

Intercepted cruise missiles – 3,065 (0)

Boats/ships – 29 (0).

Humanitarian + general:

  • Starting in the evening of February 27, Russian forces had attacked Ukraine with 208 Shahed-type strike UAVs and various types of decoy drones. As of 09:00, on February 28, 107 strike UAVs have been confirmed shot down. 97 enemy decoy drones have been lost from radar. The attack affected Kharkiv, Sumy, Mykolaiv, and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts.
  • In Zaporizhzhia, a nighttime drone attack destroyed three apartments. UAVs damaged multi-story and private houses.
  • On February 28, Russian occupiers shelled three communities in Donetsk Oblast, resulting in three deaths and two injuries.
  • In Kherson Oblast, during the evacuation of a patient from Antonivka, a suburb of Kherson, to a medical facility, a patrol police vehicle came under a drone attack.
  • Overnight and in the morning of February 28, Russian forces struck the border areas and settlements of Sumy Oblast 12 times, damaging residential buildings and a gas pipeline.
  • Around 18:30, the occupiers shelled the Dnipro district of Kherson with artillery. A 74-year-old man was injured in the attack.
  • In Kherson Oblast, on February 27, Russian strikes injured seven people.
  • On February 27, Russians killed three residents of Donetsk Oblast in Kostiantynivka, Pokrovsk, and Torske. Seven more people were injured.
  • Emergency power outages have been introduced in Kyiv, Kyiv Oblast, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, Chernihiv Oblast, and Cherkasy Oblast, according to DTEK Group.
  • For residents of settlements occupied in 2024, the occupiers have set up a new filtration camp for 1,000 people. The population is forcibly brought there for checks on cooperation with the Defense Forces. At the same time, each person is mandatorily issued a Russian passport, according to the Center for National Resistance.

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