Russia’s war on Ukraine. 12.03.25

On the Kursk direction, Russian forces launched an offensive on Sudzha, captured Bondarevka, Zamostie, and Makhnovka, advanced in Zazulevka, on the southeastern outskirts of Kolmakov, south of Kurilovka, to the outskirts of Zaoleshenka, engaged in battles for Kazachya Loknia, forced Ukrainian troops to withdraw from the village and Knyazhe-2, attempted to capture Kolmakov and Dmitriukov, advanced east of Sverdlivkovo along Highway 38K-030 Korenevo – Sudzha, continued to advance near Kazachya Loknia, Yuzhnyi, Kubatkin, Ivashkivskyi, near Zhuravka, conducting raiding actions along the international border of Sumy and Kursk Oblasts.

22nd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 72nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 44th Army Corps and the 155th Separate Marines Brigade captured Knyazhe-1, 11th Separate Air Assault Brigade is advancing toward Sudzha from Myrne.

Enemy sabotage and reconnaissance groups advanced southwest of Tetkino, other groups operate along the international border, small enemy infantry groups are attempting to establish positions in Sumy Oblast, the enemy has increased fire pressure on the border areas of Sumy Oblast.

On the Kharkiv direction, Russian forces attacked near Hlyboke and close to Vovchansk.

On the Kupyansk direction, Russian forces advanced in the areas of Petropavlivka, Stepova Novoselivka, Kruhlyakivka, Lozova, Zahryzove, Bohuslavka, Hrekivka.

Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Synkivka.

On the Lyman direction, Russian forces attempted to advance west of Novolyubivka, attacked towards Zelena Dolyna, near Nove, Novomykhailivka, Katerynivka, Yampolivka, Kolodyazi, Novolyubivka, Torske, and Zarichne.

On the Siversk direction, Russian forces advanced north of Verkhnyokamianske, 7th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 3rd Army Corps is advancing southwest of Bilohorivka. The enemy attacked in the area of Fedorivka.

On the Kramatorsk direction, Russian forces continued attacks near Chasiv Yar, towards Mayske, near Kurdyumivka, Stupochky, Dyliivka, and Bila Hora.

On the Toretsk direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces advanced east of Panteleymonivka and toward the “Tsentralna” mine in the center of Toretsk, counterattacked near Toretsk.

Russian forces are fighting for Dachne, attacked near Toretsk, close to Valentynivka, Yurivka, Panteleymonivka, Shcherbynivka, Dyliivka, Krymske, Druzhba.

On the Pokrovsk direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces advanced west of Vodyane Druhe, counterattacked near Shevchenkove.

Russian forces conducted offensive operations near Pokrovsk, Tarasivka, Vodyane Druhe, Yelyzavetivka, Promin, Lysivka, Dachenske, Novotroitske, Mykolaivka, Shevchenkove, Vidrodzhennya, Novoukrainka, Zelene, Pishchane, Zvirove, Udachne, Kotlyne, Nadiivka, Preobrazhenka, Novooleksandrivka, Nadiivka, Bohdanivka, Kotlyarivka, Serhiivka.

On the Novopavlivka direction, Russian forces unsuccessfully attacked near Andriivka, Oleksiivka, Konstyantynopil, Rozlyv, and Rozdolne.

On the Huliaypole direction, the 37th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 36th Army and the 40th Separate Marines Brigade of the Pacific Fleet are fighting for Dniproenerhiya, 394th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 127th Motorized Rifle Division of the 5th Army is engaged in battles in Vilne Pole. The enemy advanced near Skudne, Vesele, Burlatske, Pryvilne, Novosilka, Novopil.

On the Orikhiv direction, Russian forces advanced in Pyatykhatky, southeast of Kamianske, conducted offensive operations in the area of Novodanylivka, Stepove, Shcherbaky, Lobkove.

General conclusion:

• The number of combat engagements has sharply increased over the past 24 hours.
• On the Kharkiv, Kupyansk, Kramatorsk, Novopavlivka, and Huliaypole directions, the enemy’s offensive actions remain unsuccessful.
• The enemy has intensified activity on the Lyman direction and has made advances on the Siversk and Orikhiv directions.
• Ukrainian Defense Forces have advanced on the Toretsk and Pokrovsk directions. The geography of hostilities on this direction has significantly expanded. Russian forces have resumed assault operations in the Toretsk area after several weeks of reduced activity. The presence of better-trained and better-equipped units has been noted.
• The commander of the 98th Airborne Division has been removed from command due to failure to capture Chasiv Yar (this information is being verified).

Change in the line of contact (LoC):

• There were 244 combat engagements on various fronts.
• On the Kharkiv direction, the enemy conducted six offensive operations towards Hlyboke and Vovchansk, airstrikes hit Kozacha Lopan, Hoptivka, Veterynarne.
• On the Kupyansk direction, the aggressor carried out offensive actions in the areas of Nova Kruhlyakivka, Petropavlivka, Kucherivka, Bohuslavka, Zahryzove, where Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled 13 enemy attacks.
• On the Lyman direction, Russian invaders attacked Ukrainian Defense Forces positions 31 times towards Cherneshchyna, Hrekivka, Katerynivka, Yampolivka, Novomykhailivka, Nove, Zelena Dolyna.
• On the Siversk direction, six assaults by occupation forces were repelled near Bilohorivka and Verkhnyokamianske.
• On the Kramatorsk direction, the enemy stormed Ukrainian Defense Forces positions near Mayske, Chasiv Yar, Stupochky. Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled 14 enemy attacks.
• On the Toretsk direction, Russian forces stormed Ukrainian positions 32 times in the areas of Bila Hora, Dyliivka, Dachne, Druzhba, Kurdyumivka, Toretsk.
• On the Pokrovsk direction, the enemy attacked in the areas of Vodyane Druhe, Promin, Lysivka, Novoukrainka, Zelene, Zvirove, Leontovychi, Serhiivka, Udachne, Novooleksandrivka, Nadiivka, Preobrazhenka, Bohdanivka, Oleksiivka, Shevchenko, Kotlyarivka, Andriivka. Defense Forces repelled 54 enemy assault operations. Airstrikes hit Nova Poltavka, Pokrovsk, Hrodivka, Zvirove, Leontovychi.
• On the Novopavlivka direction, the enemy attempted 16 times to break through defenses near Konstyantynopil, Pryvilne, Skudne, Vilne Pole, Burlatske.
• On the Huliaypole direction, there were 15 engagements with the enemy in the areas of Zelene Pole, Novosilka, Novopil. Airstrikes hit Novopil and Huliaypole.
• On the Orikhiv direction, the enemy carried out nine attacks toward Novodanylivka, Stepove, Pyatykhatky, Shcherbaky, Kamianske, Lobkove. Novodanylivka suffered from enemy airstrikes.
• On the Prydniprovskyi direction, the enemy attacked twice, conducted airstrikes on the areas of Burgunka, Virivka, Matrosivka, Korsunka.
• On the Kursk direction, the enemy attacked twice, conducted airstrikes on the areas of Burgunka, Virivka, Matrosivka, Korsunka.
• In the Black Sea-Azov naval operational area, the enemy naval group on combat duty consists of:
  • Black Sea: 1 ship, including 1 cruise missile carrier; the total salvo is 4 cruise missiles.
  • Mediterranean Sea: 4 ships, including 3 cruise missile carriers; the total salvo is 26 cruise missiles.

Changes in the enemy disposition:

• The commander of the Russian Armed Forces group in Kursk Oblast is Colonel General Valery Solodchuk.
• The Volunteer Reconnaissance and Assault Brigade “Veterans” operates east of Sudzha near Myrne.
• The 102nd and 103rd Motorized Rifle Regiments, the 163rd Tank Regiment, the 381st Artillery Regiment, and the 174th Separate Reconnaissance Battalion of the 150th Motorized Rifle Division of the 8th Combined Arms Army operate on the Toretsk direction.
• The 33rd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 20th Combined Arms Army operates near Tarasivka.
• The 247th Air Assault Regiment of the 7th Air Assault Division operates near Pyatykhatky.

Possible operation situation developments:

• The plan for the enemy’s spring-summer offensive campaign in the Southwestern Theater of Operations may be as follows: a simultaneous breakthrough towards Kostyantynivka and Druzhkivka from the south and southeast (from the direction of Toretsk and Vozdvyzhenka), as well as from the northeast (from the direction of Chasiv Yar), followed by an advance towards Kramatorsk from the south while simultaneously advancing towards Slovyansk with the forces of the 20th and 25th Combined Arms Armies of the “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping through Lyman.
• If enemy forces of the “Sever (North)” Operational Grouping secure and expand their bridgehead in the Dvorichna area, they will be positioned to push further into Kharkiv Oblast, broadening the so-called “sanitary zone.” This could be achieved through simultaneous advances toward Velykyi Burluk from the bridgehead and from Vovchansk. Another likely course of action is an offensive against the Kupyansk defense sector of “Khortytsia” OSG, coordinated with the 1st Tank Army of the enemy’s “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping.
• On the Lyman direction, in the near future, the command of the 25th Combined Arms Army of the enemy’s “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping will attempt to accomplish its immediate task by deploying the 169th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade into the operation and attacking the positions of “Khortytsia” OSG along the Kreminna–Zarichne road toward Torske.
• On the Kramatorsk direction, the encirclement of Chasiv Yar from the south by advancing toward Stupochky will be a priority for the command of the 3rd Combined Arms Army and the 98th Airborne Division of the enemy. To achieve this, the enemy may redeploy additional forces from the 85th or 88th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigades of the 3rd Combined Arms Army to this direction from the southern sector.
• The operational plan of the 8th Combined Arms Army on the Kostyantynivka direction is to envelop the tactical group of the “Khortytsia” OSG, which is defending south of Kostyantynivka between Oleksandropil and Tarasivka from the flanks. The enemy aims to encircle and destroy this group or, if unable to do so, force it to withdraw from the area south of Kostyantynivka in a northwestern direction under the threat of encirclement. The ultimate goal of these actions is a two-pronged breakthrough from the southwest and southeast toward the area of Stepanivka – Berestok – Pleshchiivka – Yablunivka, followed by a simultaneous assault on Kostyantynivka from this area and from the direction of Chasiv Yar. After the reaching the Poltavka–Pleshchiivka line, the enemy’s 3rd Combined Arms Army, reinforced by an airborne forces group, will attempt a rapid breakthrough from the bridgehead on the Siverskyi Donets–Donbas canal in the Chasiv Yar area, advancing from the northeast toward Kostyantynivka.
• The command of the enemy’s “Vostok (East)” Operational Grouping will attempt to organize a breakthrough toward Komar on the Huliaypole direction in the near future and advance into the operational rear of “Khortytsia” OSG which is engaged in heavy defensive battles on the Novopavlivka direction.

Russian operational losses from 23.02.22 to 12.03.25

Personnel – almost 889,050 (+1,430);

Tanks – 10,306 (+3);

Armored combat vehicles – 21,430 (+7);

Artillery systems – 24,390 (+44);

Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,314 (+1);

Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 1,103 (0);

Vehicles and fuel tanks – 40,205 (+134);

Aircraft – 370 (0);

Helicopters – 331 (0);

UAV operational and tactical level – 28,912 (+111);

Intercepted cruise missiles – 31,21 (0)

Boats/ships – 29 (0).

Humanitarian + general:

• From 19:00 on March 11, the enemy struck Ukraine with three Iskander-M ballistic missiles and attacked with 133 strike UAVs. As of 09:30, 98 strike UAVs were confirmed shot down, while 20 enemy decoy drones were lost on radar (without negative consequences). The Russian attack affected Odesa, Dnipropetrovsk, Kharkiv, Sumy, and Kyiv Oblasts.
• Overnight in Sumy, a drone struck city infrastructure, causing a fire. In Kyiv Oblast, falling debris from downed Russian drones caused fires—burning a private residential house and a furniture store. There were no casualties or injuries.
• On the morning of March 12, Russian forces launched a missile strike on Kryvyi Rih, hitting an infrastructure facility. One person was killed, and 16 were injured. Eight people remain in the hospital, three of them in serious condition. The invaders launched a second strike when rescuers arrived to deal with the aftermath. Overnight, Russian occupiers also attacked Kryvyi Rih District, damaging infrastructure.
• On the morning of March 12, the Russian army struck the village of Rozhkovychi in the Seredyna-Buda community of Sumy Oblast, killing a man and injuring his son.
• On March 12, Russian attacks on Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad in Donetsk Oblast killed three civilians and injured two others. In total, five people were killed and 12 wounded in Donetsk Oblast from Russian shelling that day.
• In the evening of March 12, a 62-year-old man was injured in Kherson’s Dnipro District due to a Russian drone attack. During the day, Russian forces shelled Kherson with artillery, injuring a 45-year-old woman.
• On the evening of March 11, Russia struck the port of Odesa. A ballistic missile damaged the Barbados-flagged vessel “MJ PINA,” killing four Syrian citizens. The youngest victim was 18, and the oldest was 24. Two others—a Ukrainian and a Syrian—were injured. At the time of the strike, the vessel was loading wheat for export to Algeria. Russian forces used a cluster missile that detonated in the air.
• On the evening of March 11, Russian occupiers launched an airstrike on the village of Chervonyi Mayak in Kherson Oblast, injuring two people.
• On the evening of March 11, Russian forces carried out a massive UAV attack on the city of Dnipro. According to preliminary reports, 12 out of 20 drones were shot down in the oblast. An infrastructure facility caught fire, and two private houses were damaged.
• Over the past day, Russian forces conducted 81 attacks on border areas of Sumy Oblast, injuring one civilian and destroying a private house. A total of 194 explosions were recorded.
• In Donetsk Oblast, approximately 286,000 civilians remain, and mandatory evacuation is ongoing.
• Law enforcement established that on the evening of March 11, the Russian security service detonated two of its own agents who were carrying an improvised explosive device near the railway station in Ivano-Frankivsk. According to the investigation, the enemy agents were two local teenagers, aged 15 and 17, who were studying at colleges. Russians recruited them through Telegram channels offering easy money.

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