Центр оборонних стратегій

Russia’s war on Ukraine. 09.08.2023

Operational situation

The Defense Forces continue their offensive operation on the Melitopol and Berdyansk directions, consolidating their positions at achieved frontlines and engaging in counter-battery warfare. The adversary concentrates their main efforts on the Kupyansk, Lyman, Bakhmut, and Avdiivka directions.

General conclusion: 

  • Ukrainian Defense Forces continued offensive actions on at least three sectors of the front line, developing success in the Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
  • In the Berdyansk direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces lack short-range anti-aircraft missiles and EW capabilities to effectively counter Russian attack helicopters and unmanned aerial vehicles.
  • The 5th Army command stopped deploying reinforcements and organizing counterattacks in the Staromayorske area. At the same time, it deployed 4 brigades on the Novozlatopil – Remivka – Volodyne – Staromlynivka – Kermenchyk line.
  • The operational goal of the Russian operation on the Kupyansk direction is to draw away the reserves of Ukrainian Defense Forces from the Zaporizhzhia direction.

Change in the line of contact (LoC):  

  • Over 30 combat engagements took place in different directions.
  • On the Kupyansk direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled the attacks of the Russian 25th and 138th separate motorized rifle brigades in the area of Synkivka and north of Ivanivka.
  • Troops of the 6th Army conducted combat operations in the areas south of Vilshany and Pervomaiske. Russian assault groups displaced Ukrainian Defense Forces units near Lyman Pershyi and from positions along the Lyman Pershyi – Pervomaiske line.
  • On the Lyman direction, Russian forces unsuccessfully attacked the Ukrainian Defense Forces to the south of Novoselivske, where the enemy is conducting fortification work on their positions, near Bilohorivka and Torske. Near Stelmakhivka, the enemy is employing the TOS-1A heavy flamethrower system from the inventory of the 20th regiment of the 1st Tank Army.
  • Ukrainian Defense Forces have advanced towards Karmazynivka, although Russian forces still control the heights near the village. Attacks near Novoselivske, Novoyehorivka, Zhytlivka, Terniv, Torske, and Yampolivka did not alter the tactical situation.
  • On the Bakhmut direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces successfully repelled Russian attacks on the outskirts of Klishchiivka, Andriivka, Kurdyumivka, Druzhba and in the Zaitseve area.
  • The units of the Russian “Yug (South)” grouping repelled the attacks of Ukrainian Defense Forces near Bakhmut, Klishchiivka, Berkhivka and Zaitseve. Russian units of the 72nd separate motorized rifle brigade of the 3rd Army Corps repulsed Ukrainian attacks near Andriivka.
  • On the Avdiivka direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces successfully repelled attacks by Russian troops in the Novokalynove, Avdiivka and Severne areas, and continued to hold back the advance of Russian forces in the Maryinka and Novomykhailivka areas.
  • Russian troops advanced in the area of Krasnohorivka.
  • Zaporizhzhya direction:
    • Tokmak direction (Robotyne): Russian troops repelled the night attack of the “Tavriya” Operational Grouping at the Robotyne-Verbove line; positional battles take place near Bilohirya.
    • Berdyansk direction (Velyka Novosilka): Russian forces made unsuccessful attempts to restore the lost position in the Staromayorske area. The remnants of its 60th separate motorized rifle brigade and 247th air assault regiment of the 7th air assault division defend themselves in the area of Urozhaine, although part of their forces withdrew in the direction of Zavitne Bazhannia.
    • In the Mykilske area, Russian forces repulsed the attack of the “Tavriya” Operational Grouping.
  • Kherson direction: Ukrainian Defense Forces landed up to seven boats, each carrying about 6-7 people, on the Dnipro’s eastern bank near the Kozachi Laheria village. They breached the Russian defense and advanced by 800 meters.
  • In the Black Sea-Azov naval operational area, there were 5 Russian ships, including 1 cruise missile carrier on combat duty in the Black Sea, 1 in the Sea of Azov, 8 in the Mediterranean, including 2 cruise missile carriers. The total salvo is 28 Kalibr cruise missiles. 

Change in enemy disposition:

  • Following missile and artillery attacks by the 19th Missile Brigade and the 55th Separate Artillery Brigade of the Ukrainian Defense Forces, the 305th Russian Artillery Brigade lost all of its heavy weaponry and was subsequently withdrawn from the operational zone.
  • The count of wounded and killed Russian military personnel in the Svatove-Kreminna area has notably risen. To transport the wounded back to the Russian Federation, the specialized unit 442 of the District Military Clinical Hospital from the Russian Ministry of Defense has been deployed to Svatove, Luhansk Oblast. Specifically, between August 1 and 7, approximately 500 Russian servicemen with gunshot wounds of varying severity were transferred from the mentioned area to the hospital in Belgorod.
  • Russian forces have extracted approximately 40% of outdated Soviet tanks, predominantly T-62 models manufactured between 1962 and 1975, from the 227th storage facility situated in the village of Vagszhanova, north of Ulan-Ude, Republic of Buryatia. As of September 2021, the storage base contained 3,840 armored vehicles, and by May 2023, this number had decreased to 2,270. Notably, 32% of these armored vehicles were removed from the base following the declaration of partial mobilization in September 2022.

Escalation indicators:

  • 12-16 helicopters of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation are deployed at Luhansk airport.

Possible operation situation developments: 

  • The Russian command will soon begin the withdrawal of Russian troops from the Pryiutne – Urozhaine – Zavitne Bazhanya area to the Novozlatopil – Remivka – Volodyne – Staromlynivka – Kermenchyk line.

Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 09.08.23 

Personnel – almost 251,620 people (+820);

Tanks – 4,262 (+8);

Armored combat vehicles – 8,290 (+12);

Artillery systems – 5,013 (+17);

Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 711 (+2);

Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 469 (+1);

Vehicles and fuel tanks –7,479 (+19);

Aircraft – 315 (0);

Helicopters – 312 (0);

UAV operational and tactical level – 4,175 (+17);

Intercepted cruise missiles – 1,377 (0);

Boats/ships – 18 (0).


  • According to information provided by the MOD’s Situation Center, over the past day, Russian forces shelled 9 regions of Ukraine. 140 towns and villages and 101 infrastructure objects were attacked with various types of weapons. Over the past day, at least 3 people died and 22 people were injured, as reported by Oblast Military Administrations. 
  • More than 1,594 children in Ukraine were affected by the full-scale armed aggression of the Russian Federation. As of the morning of August 9, 2023, according to the official information of juvenile prosecutors, 499 children died and more than 1,095 sustained injuries of various degrees of severity.
  • According to the head of the Kharkiv Oblast Military Administration, Oleh Synehubov, Russian forces significantly increased the shelling of the border areas and the villages close to the front line in the Kupyansk district. The enemy continues to terrorize the local population, including with airstrikes. Consequently, a compulsory evacuation of around 11,000 civilians and a mandatory evacuation of 600 children from 53 villages might become necessary.
  • Prior to their release through an exchange, the captured defenders of Mariupol, who had endured the explosion in the Olenivka detention facility in the occupied region of Donetsk Oblast on July 29, 2022, were subjected to severe beatings by Russian guards as a “farewell” act, according to Arsen Dmytryk, the commander of the 1st battalion of the “Azov” brigade, in an interview with Ukrinform.
  • By a majority of 287 votes, the Verkhovna Rada has issued an appeal to the parliaments, governments of foreign nations, and international organizations concerning the Russian Federation’s announced plans to conduct unlawful elections in the temporarily occupied territories of Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson Oblasts of Ukraine. The Rada has called upon foreign actors to refrain from recognizing these elections and their outcomes. Additionally, the Verkhovna Rada has requested comprehensive support for the legal prosecution of individuals implicated in orchestrating these illicit elections.

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