Russia’s war on Ukraine. 14.11.2023

Operational situation

In the operational zone of the Ukrainian Operational-Strategic Group of Forces (OSG) “Khortytsia” on the Kupyansk direction, Russian forces conducted assault operations in the areas of Synkivka, Petropavlivka, and Ivanivka where Ukrainian troops repelled 7 attacks. On the Lyman direction, the enemy carried out unsuccessful assault actions in the areas of Nadiya, Novoyehorivka, and Torske, where Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled 6 attacks. On the Bakhmut direction, the enemy conducted assault operations near Ivanivske, Klishchiivka, and Andriivka, where Ukrainian troops repelled 15 attacks. Ukrainian Defense Forces continue assault operations south of Bakhmut, inflicting losses on the enemy in personnel and equipment, and consolidating on the achieved positions.

In the “Tavriya” OSG operational zone on the Avdiivka direction, the enemy persists in their attempts to encircle Avdiivka, employing aviation. Ukrainian troops steadfastly hold the defense and inflict losses on the enemy. The enemy’s offensive actions were unsuccessful south of Novokalynove, Avdiivka, Severne, and east of Pervomaiske. The Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled 18 attacks in this area. On the Maryinka direction, the enemy, with the support of aviation, carried out unsuccessful assault actions in the areas of Maryinka and Novomykhailivka, where Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled 24 attacks. On the Shakhtarsk direction, the enemy conducted unsuccessful assault operations south of Zolota Nyva. On the Zaporizhzhia direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled 4 attacks in the area of Robotyne. Ukrainian Defense Forces continue to conduct an offensive operation on the Melitopol direction, inflict losses to the Russian forces in personnel and equipment, and wearing down the enemy along the entire front line.

In the operational zone of the “Odesa” OSG, the Ukrainian Defense Forces conduct counter-battery warfare and inflict damage on the enemy’s rear areas.

Russian forces continued their offensive actions on the Kupyansk – Svatove line, near Bakhmut, near Avdiivka, west and southwest of Donetsk, in the western part of Zaporizhzhya Oblast, advanced on separate sections of the front line.

General conclusion:

• There is high level of combat activity throughout the entire front line from Urozhaine to Staromykhailivka and Russian forces have launched an offensive on adjacent sectors of the front.

Change in the line of contact (LoC):  

• There were 80 combat engagements on various fronts.
• On the Kupyansk direction, Russian forces advanced west of Volodymyrivka, repelling 4 Ukrainian attacks near Zahoruykivka, Tymkivka, and launching 5 assaults near Kreminna, Dibrova, and Bilohorivka.
• The “Khortytsia” OSG forces repelled over 15 Russian attacks near Synkivka, Petropavlivka, Ivanivka, Kyslivka, and Novoyehorivka.
• On the Bakhmut direction, the “Khortytsia” OSG forces continued assault operations, repelling Russian attacks east of Klishchiivka, near Dubovo-Vasylivka, Ivanivske, and Andriivka.
• Russian forces repelled Ukrainian attacks near Kurdyumivka and Ivanivske, advanced west of Yahidne toward Bohdanivka, crossed the railway near Klishchiivka, and consolidated control over positions in the northern part of it, taking new positions near Berkhivka reservoir.
• On the Avdiivka direction, Russian forces recently advanced to the eastern outskirts of Stepove, displacing Ukrainian forces from several positions in the industrial zone on the southern flank of Avdiivka. However, their attacks south-east and south of Novokalynove, east of Pervomaiske, Novobakhmutivka, near Avdiivka, and Severne failed. They consolidated near Novomykhailivka but currently cannot attack Novomykhailivka itself. Battles continue near the Avdiivka coking plant and 230 “Terikon” height.
• The “Tavriya” OSG forces successfully counterattacked and advanced near Avdiivka, reached the railway station near Stepove, and the “Tsarska Okhota” restaurant. They attacked near Krasnohorivka, repelled Russian attacks near Maryinka and Novomykhailivka.
• Berdyansk direction: the “Tavriya” OSG forces attacked north of Novodonetske and Novomayorske, positional battles are ongoing in the area.
• Russian forces unsuccessfully attacked south of Zolota Nyva and near Staromayorske. They remain active north of Pryiutne and near Urozhaine.
• Tokmak direction: the “Tavria” OSG forces conducted larger-than-usual attacks, supported by tanks, north of Verbove, advancing near Rivne, Robotyne, Novoprokopivka and Verbove, and counterattacked from Novofedorivka.
• Kherson direction: the “Odesa” OSG forces maintain positions in Krynky and slightly expanded their control zone south of the village, persistently trying to consolidate near Poyma and Pishchanivka.
• Russian forces consistently launch attacks with TOS-1A heavy flamethrower systems and guided bombs on the western bank of the Dnipro River.
• In the Black Sea-Azov naval operational area, there was 1 Russian ship on combat duty in the Black Sea; there was 1 enemy ship in the Azov Sea and 2 in the Mediterranean Sea, including 1 cruise missile carrier. The total salvo of the sea launched cruise missiles is 8 missiles.

Change in enemy disposition:

• On the Bakhmut direction, units of the “Volunteer Reconnaissance and Assault Brigade” were identified, including the “Holy Prince Alexander Nevsky detachment.”

Possible operation situation developments:

• The Russian military command will intensify its efforts in the Avdiivka direction, primarily in the area of Stepove and the Avdiivka coke-chemical plant, with the aim of encircling Avdiivka.
• The command of the enemy’s “Dniepr” Operational Grouping will seek a tactical solution to counteract the expansion of the “Odesa” OSG bridgeheads on the left bank of the Dnipro River.
• Russian forces are unlikely to completely regain the initiative in the forthcoming months, and their capacity to launch a large-scale offensive, which could impede the Defense Forces’ resource allocation for counteroffensive operations, remains improbable.
• In the near future, we should expect intensive Russian attempts, if not to eliminate the Ukrainian bridgeheads, at least to block, isolate and reduce them. Primarily, the enemy will try to disrupt the logistical support routes for the advanced units of the “Odesa” OSG on the left bank.

Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 14.11.23

Personnel – almost 313,470  people (+920);

Tanks 5,362 (+8);

Armored combat vehicles – 10,086 (+7);

Artillery systems – 7,589 (+20);

Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 882 (+1);

Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 580 (0);

Vehicles and fuel tanks – 9,973 (+24);

Aircraft – 322 (0);

Helicopters – 324 (0);

UAV operational and tactical level – 5,649 (+15);

Intercepted cruise missiles – 1,561 (0);

Boats/ships – 23 (0).

Humanitarian +general:

• According to information provided by the Situation Center of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, Russian troops shelled 9 regions of Ukraine over the past day. A total of 116 towns and villages and 63 infrastructure objects were attacked with various types of weapons. In Kherson Oblast, 3 civilians died, and 15 others were injured, including 1 child. In Donetsk Oblast, 3 civilians were injured. The number of casualties is being updated/clarified.
• During the night of November 14, Russian forces launched 9 combat drones of the “Shahed” type and 2 missiles at Ukraine. 7 drones were successfully destroyed. The drones originated from Primorsko-Akhtarsk (Krasnodar Krai, Russia), the ballistic missile “Iskander-M” was launched from the area of Dzhankoy (Crimea), and the guided aviation missile X-35 was launched from the airspace of the temporarily occupied Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
• Around noon on November 14, Russian forces targeted Nikopol with three kamikaze drones. A 72-year-old man was injured. There is also one fatality.
• During the past day, Russian forces carried out a series of attacks on energy facilities in Ukraine, including shelling the area near a thermal power plant in Donetsk Oblast and a petroleum processing facility, the Ministry of Energy reported.

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