Центр оборонних стратегій

Russia’s war on Ukraine. 26.11.2023

Operational situation

In the operational zone of the Ukrainian Operational-Strategic Group of Forces (OSG) “Khortytsia” on the Kupyansk direction, Russian forces conducted assault operations near Synkivka and Ivanivka, where Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled 4 attacks. On the Lyman direction, the enemy did not engage in offensive (assault) actions. On the Bakhmut direction, Ukrainian troops repelled 10 Russian attacks near Klishchiivka and Andriivka. Ukrainian Defense Forces continue assault operations south of Bakhmut, inflicting losses on the enemy in personnel and equipment, and consolidating on the achieved positions.

In the “Tavriya” OSG operational zone on the Avdiivka direction, the enemy with air support persists in attempts to encircle Avdiivka. Ukrainian troops steadfastly maintain the defense, inflicting losses on the enemy forces. The Russian offensive actions in the area of Stepove, Avdiivka, Pervomaiske and to the south of Novokalynove were unsuccessful. Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled 23 attacks on this sector. On the Maryinka direction, the enemy conducted assault operations in the areas of Maryinka and Novomykhailivka, where Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled 9 attacks. On the Shakhtarsk direction, Russian troops conducted unsuccessful assault operations south of Zolota Nyva and east of Staromayorske. On the Zaporizhzhia direction, the enemy made 8 unsuccessful attempts to regain the lost position near Robotyne. The Ukrainian Defense Forces continue to conduct an offensive operation on the Melitopol direction, inflict losses to the Russian forces in personnel and equipment, and wearing down the enemy along the entire front line.

In the operational zone of the “Odesa” OSG, on the Kherson direction, the Ukrainian Defense Forces continue to hold their positions on the left bank of the Dnipro River and to conduct counter-battery warfare and inflict damage on the enemy’s rear areas.

Russian forces attacked along the Svatove-Kreminna line, near Bakhmut and Avdiivka, west and southwest of Donetsk, on the border of Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts, in the western part of Zaporizhzhia Oblast, and slightly advanced in certain sectors of the front.

General conclusion:

  • Mobile air defense groups of the Ukrainian Defense Forces have proven effective in downing a substantial number of the enemy’s strike UAVs.
  • During the night of November 24-25, Russian forces launched the largest UAV strike since the beginning of the full-scale invasion, utilizing a new modification of Iranian UAVs, Shahed 131/136.
  • Russian forces have reduced the intensity of air strikes and decreased the number of armored vehicles operating on the Avdiivka direction. However, they continue to carry out infantry attacks.

Change in the line of contact (LoC):  

  • There were 58 combat engagements on various fronts.
  • On the Kupyansk direction, Russian forces advanced near Synkivka, repelling the Ukrainian Defense Forces’ attack in the areas of Zahoruykivka, Pershotravneve, Ivanivka, and near Hryhorivka.
  • The “Khortytsia” OSG forces repelled Russian attacks near Petropavlivka, Ivanivka, Stelmakhivka, and near the Serebryansk Forestry, reclaiming previously lost positions near Yahidne. Battles are ongoing near Torske.
  • On the Bakhmut direction, Russian forces repelled 10 Ukrainian attacks near Klishchiivka.
  • The “Khortytsia” OSG forces repelled Russian attacks near Bohdanivka, Ivanivske, Klishchiivka, and Andriivka.
  • On the Avdiivka direction, Russian forces have advanced to the north of Krasnohorivka, in the industrial zone and near the “Yasynuvata-2”  railway station, near Kamyanka, and near the Avdiivka coking plant, achieving tactical success near Novomykhailivka.
  • The “Tavria” OSG units withdrew from some positions in the industrial zone on the southern flank of Avdiivka. They repelled Russian attacks to the east and south of Novokalynove, near Novobakhmutivka, Stepove, Avdiivka, Severne, Pervomaiske, and Maryinka.
  • Berdyansk direction, The “Tavriya” OSG forces attacked in the area of Pryiutne.
  • Russian forces unsuccessfully attacked south of Zolota Nyva and east of Staromayorske.
  • Tokmak direction: the “Tavriya” OSG forces attacked north of Novoprokopivka, near Robotyne and Verbove.
  • Russian forces unsuccessfully attacked near Robotyne and Novopokrivka. They counterattacked and captured several strongholds in the wooded area near Verbove. On the Robotyne – Verbove line, the 503rd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 19th Motorized Rifle Division of the 58th Combined Arms Army deploys modernized T-62m tanks.
  • Kherson direction, the “Odesa” OSG forces are holding positions in Krynky, but Russian forces have shelled and attacked them near and within the village. Russian troops attempted to advance into the western part of Krynky, conducted strikes near Antonivskyi automobile and railway bridges, and targeted the areas of Poyma, Pishchanivka, and Pidstepne with gliding FAB-1500 bombs.
  • In the Black Sea-Azov naval operational area, there was 1 Russian ship on combat duty in the Mediterranean Sea.

Changes in the enemy disposition:

  • The “Aida” group from the Chechen “Akhmat” unit operates in the Kreminna area.

Possible operation situation developments:

  • Russian forces are unlikely to completely regain the initiative in the forthcoming months, and the probability of them executing a large-scale offensive, capable of disrupting the Defense Forces resource allocation for counteroffensive operations, remains improbable.
  • The “Tavriya” OSG has two viable routes for breaching towards Tokmak: either through Novoprokopivka – Solodka Balka – Chervonohirka or through Myrne – crossing the first position of the primary defense line in the area of Peremozhne – Ternuvate – Stepove, and further, through positions along the Novohorivka – Chystopillia line in the direction of Pokrovske.
  • The “Khortytsia” OSG troops will maneuver in the area of Horlivka, posing a threat on the southern flank of the Bakhmut operational direction.

Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 26.11.23 

Personnel – almost 324,830 people (+1070);

Tanks 5,513 (+11);

Armored combat vehicles – 10,279 (+16);

Artillery systems – 7,874 (+23);

Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 905 (+1);

Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 597 (+1);

Vehicles and fuel tanks – 10,288 (+29);

Aircraft – 323 (0);

Helicopters – 324 (0);

UAV operational and tactical level – 5,901 (+93);

Intercepted cruise missiles – 1,565 (+1);

Boats/ships – 23 (0).

Humanitarian +general:

  • According to information provided by the Situation Center of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, Russian troops shelled 10 regions of Ukraine over the past day. A total of 112 towns and villages and 31 infrastructure objects were attacked with various types of weapons. Two civilians were reported dead and two were reported injured in different regions of Ukraine. The number of casualties is being updated/clarified.
  • During the night of November 26, the Air Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine neutralized eight out of nine UAVs launched by Russia at Ukraine.
  • Two trunk high-voltage power lines, which sustained damage during the massive Russian night attack on November 25, have been restored and are now operational. Volodymyr Kudrytskyi, Chairman of the “Ukrenergo” board, reassured that there is currently no threat of disconnection for consumers.
  • The number of local residents in Avdiivka who want to evacuate has decreased. Currently, 1,336 people remain in the city. The enemy continues to intensively shell the evacuation route and uses FPV drones. Currently, there are three groups of volunteers assisting people in leaving the city, said Vitaliy Barabash, the head of the Avdiivka Municipal Military Administration.

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