Центр оборонних стратегій

Russia’s war on Ukraine. 03.06.2024

In the operational zone of the Ukrainian Operational Group of Forces (OG) “Kharkiv” on the Kharkiv direction, there were 2 combat engagements. Enemy attacks were repelled in the areas of Lyptsi and Starytsya.

In the “Khortytsia” Operational-Strategic Group of Forces (OSG) operational zone on the Kupyansk direction, there were 6 combat engagements. All attacks by the Russian invaders were repelled in the areas of Druzhelyubivka and Nevske. On the Lyman direction, the enemy tried to advance four times towards Terny and in the Serebriansk Forest. Three attacks were repelled, and battles continued near Terny. On the Siversk direction, the Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled seven enemy assaults in the areas of Vyimka and Rozdolivka. On the Kramatorsk direction, the Ukrainian Defense Forces stopped 7 enemy attempts to breach the defense near Kalynivka, Klishchiivka, and Andriivka.

In the “Tavriya” OSG operational zone, on the Toretsk direction, on the Pokrovsk direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces units repelled 17 enemy attacks. The enemy concentrated its activity in the areas of Novooleksandrivka and Sokil. On the Kurakhove direction, there were six combat engagements, five of which were successfully repelled. Fighting continues in the area of Krasnohorivka. On the Vremivka direction, the Ukrainian Defense Forces held back 3 enemy attacks towards Staromayorske. On the Orikhiv direction, Russian invaders unsuccessfully tried to advance towards Mala Tokmachka.

In the operational zone of the “Odesa” OSG on the Prydniprovskiy direction, on the bridgeheads on the left bank of the Dnipro River, the Ukrainian Defense Forces conducted fierce defensive operations, repelling five Russian assaults in the vicinity of Krynky.

General conclusion: 

  • The fighting in Vovchansk and near Lyptsi is taking on a positional character.
  • Ukrainian Defense Forces are strengthening and improving their defensive lines, including the second and third lines of defense in Sumy Oblast.
  • Engineers of the 95th Rifle Regiment of the 1st Army Corps are developing remotely controlled robotic platforms for delivering ammunition and supplies to the front line in the Vuhledar area.
  • The 5th Separate Tank Brigade is using the “tank carousel” tactic in the area of Urozhaine: one tank fires until its ammunition is exhausted, then withdraws for reloading, and is replaced by another tank.
  • On the Kurakhove direction, the enemy has a decisive advantage in forces and resources, but their advancement in the area of Heorhiivka is relatively slow.
  • The command of the enemy’s “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping is making efforts to form the northern flank of the Kurakhove-Vuhledar salient, trying to advance as deeply as possible with the forces of the 20th, 150th Motorized Rifle Divisions and the 9th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade towards Kurakhove and Kostyantynivka. The enemy may intensify their efforts in this area by deploying the 155th Separate Marines Brigade and the 163rd Tank Regiment of the 150th Motorized Rifle Division.

Change in the line of contact (LoC):

  • There were 60 combat engagements on various fronts.
  • On the Kharkiv direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces struck Russian military targets in Russian Belgorod and Kursk Oblasts, specifically hitting a column of military equipment in Sudzha, Kursk Oblast, and delivering a rocket artillery strike on a Russian military logistics hub near Shebekino, Belgorod Oblast.
  • Russian forces have made slight advances southwest of Vovchansk, and north and east of Starytsya.
  • Ukrainian Defense Forces are counterattacking in the northern and central parts of Vovchansk, in the forests between Hlyboke and Lukyantsi.
  • On the Kupyansk direction, Russian forces advanced up to 300 meters south of Stepova Novoselivka. Fighting continued near Stelmakhivka, Myasozharivka, Andriivka, and Druzhelyubivka.
  • On the Lyman direction, the enemy attacked near Nevske, Terny, Dibrova, and the Serebriansk Forest. The enemy continues regrouping its forces on this direction.
  • On the Siversk Direction, Russian forces continued their offensive in the areas of Vyimka and Rozdolivka. The occupiers repelled a Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattack near Rozdolivka and attempted to advance near Vyimka. Ukrainian Defense Forces delivered a missile strike on the 200th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 14th Army Corps at the “Knauf” plant in Soledar, causing significant losses to the enemy.
  • On the Kramatorsk direction, Russian forces advanced to the center of Kalynivka, northeast of it, and south and northeast of Chasiv Yar. The enemy continued attacks on the eastern outskirts of Chasiv Yar, near Kalynivka, Bohdanivka, Klishchiivka, and New York. The enemy is using heavy flamethrower systems TOS-1A and TOS-2 to force the Ukrainian Defense Forces to leave their positions in the “Kanal” neighborhood, where Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked.
  • On the Pokrovsk direction, Russian forces made slight advances west of Solovyove, with fighting occurring on the outskirts of Sokil, and the enemy attacking in the areas of Novooleksandrivka, Umanske, Yasnobrodivka, and Netaylove.
  • Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Novooleksandrivka, Solovyove, Sokil, and Novopokrovske.
  • On the Kurakhove direction, Russian forces advanced north of Volodymyrivka, attacking in the areas of Krasnohorivka, Vodyane, Kostyantynivka, and Paraskoviivka.
  • Units of the 1st and 9th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigades of the 1st Army Corps fully occupied the Netaylove area, securing the southern flank of the “Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping for actions towards Yasnobrodivka – Netaylove. The 110th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade conducted a series of attacks southeast and east of Nevelske, making progress, but has not yet captured the village. The 5th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade, reinforced by a battalion of the 114th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade, continues intense close combat in Krasnohorivka, attempting to oust Ukrainian Defense Forces from its northern and southwestern parts. The 9th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade in the Marinka–Heorhiivka direction, supported by the 103rd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 150th Motorized Rifle Division, failed to even set foot to the eastern outskirts of Heorhiivka. The 242nd and 33rd Motorized Rifle Regiments of the 20th Motorized Rifle Division, supported by the 10th Tank Regiment of the 1st Army Corps and a battalion of the 155th Separate Marines Brigade, captured most of Paraskoviivka, holding the northern part of Pobieda, and advancing along the road towards Kurakhove west of Marinka.
  • On the right flank of the enemy’s “Vostok” Operational Grouping, in the areas of Mykilske, Pavlivka, and north of Shevchenkove, Ukrainian Defense Forces hold their forward positions along the Kashlagach River. The enemy was stopped in the Mykilske area.
  • On the Vremivka direction, Russian forces continued their advance near Staromayorske and Urozhaine, improving their tactical position. The 394th Rifle Regiment of the 127th Motorized Rifle Division of the 5th Combined Arms Army advanced further north in Staromayorske. Proactive actions of Ukrainian Defense Forces’ strike UAVs hinder the advance of the 5th Separate Tank Brigade of the 36th Combined Arms Army near Urozhaine.
  • On the Orikhiv direction, Russian forces advanced north of Myrne. Positional battles continued near Robotyne, Verbove, and Mala Tokmachka.
  • On the Prydniprovskiy direction, Russian forces made slight advances on the northern outskirts of Krynky. “Odesa” OSG units repelled several enemy attacks near this village. Russian forces are highly active on the islands in the Dnipro River delta.
  • In the Black Sea-Azov naval operational area, the enemy naval group on combat duty consists of:
    • Black Sea: 2 ships, including 1 cruise missile carrier; the total salvo is 0 cruise missiles.
    • Mediterranean Sea: 1 ship, including 1 cruise missile carrier; the total salvo is 8 cruise missiles.  
  • Russian military, after losing two A-50 Airborne Early Warning and Control aircraft, began using Be-12 amphibious aircraft to patrol the waters of the Black Sea and the Sea of Azov.

Changes in the enemy disposition:

  • Units of the 138th and 25th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigades of the 6th Combined Arms Army, along with a battalion, a reconnaissance company, and a sniper company of the 83rd Separate Air Assault Brigade of the Russian Airborne Forces, are engaged in combat in Vovchansk.
  • The 102nd Motorized Rifle Regiment and the 68th Tank Regiment of the 150th Motorized Rifle Division of the 8th Combined Arms Army are conducting operations on the Kramatorsk direction, with the remaining parts of the division operating on the Kurakhove direction.
  • The 38th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade and the 165th Artillery Brigade of the 35th Combined Arms Army are active near Mala Tokmachka.
  • Units of the 61st Separate Marines Brigade continue to operate near Nestryha Island in the Dnipro River delta.
  • On the Kurakhove direction, the enemy is conducting an offensive operation with the forces of the “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping, which is composed of troops from the 8th Combined Arms Army and the 1st Army Corps. The 8th Combined Arms Army has been reinforced by the 39th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade and a regiment of the 18th Machine Gun-Artillery Division of the 68th Army Corps, the 40th and 155th Separate Marines Brigades of the Pacific Fleet, the 36th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 29th Combined Arms Army, and a detachment of the 14th Separate SOF Brigade. The “Yug” Operational Grouping includes 4 brigades, 14 regiments, 6 separate battalions, and 3 irregular and paramilitary formations (BARS detachments and the “Volunteer Corps” under the aegis of the “Redut” PMC). On the right flank of the enemy’s “Yug” Operational Grouping, the forces of the “Vostok (East)” Operational Grouping are operating, which includes up to 2 brigades, 4 rifle regiments, and 3 motorized rifle battalions and equivalent formations. The Grouping’s actions are supported by strike aviation from air bases in Russian Yeysk, Taganrog, Rostov-on-Don, Zernograd, Kushchevskaya, and Primorsko-Akhtarsk, located in close proximity to the operational direction. Army aviation has an extensive network of forward operating airfields.

Possible operation situation developments:

  • Despite the slowed pace of advancement in the Vovchansk direction, there are no signs of the enemy transitioning to defense on this direction, unlike on the Lyptsi direction.
  • The enemy’s “Sever” Operational Grouping command is preparing to cross the Vovcha River towards Hatyshche and Synelnykove to create conditions for the further advance of the 25th and 138th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigades of the 6th Combined Arms Army into the city of Vovchansk.
  • Another potential development could be the enemy’s attempt to connect their footholds in the Vovchansk direction with those in the Lyptsi direction. To accomplish this, they might initiate offensive operations toward Buhruvatka-Starytsya, targeting Izbytske and Ternova. This would involve deploying additional motorized rifle and tank battalions on the western bank of the Siversky Donets River.
  • Russian forces may initiate offensive operations on the Zolochiv direction, assembling a strike group 90 km northwest of Kharkiv for this purpose.
  • The enemy will soon capture the “Kanal” neighborhood in Chasiv Yar, as their forward units have taken an enveloping position around this part of the city.
  • The “Center” Operational Grouping command is focused on executing the following operational plan: to establish conditions for the blockade and encirclement of the Kurakhove area or to create advantageous circumstances for launching an offensive operation to encircle “Tavriya” OSG’s defense in Toretsk area from the south.
  • In the near future, the enemy will deploy another tank battalion of the 163rd Tank Regiment of the 150th Motorized Rifle Division in the area of Heorhiivka to increase the pace of the offensive.
  • The Russian military command may redeploy the 7th and 76th Air Assault Divisions from the Robotyne area to the Luhansk, Kherson Oblasts in Ukraine, or Kursk Oblast in Russia.

Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 03.06.24  

Personnel – almost 511,130 (+1270); 

Tanks 7,779 (+14); 

Armored combat vehicles – 15,002 (+22); 

Artillery systems – 13,280 (+47);

Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,090 (+1);

Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 824 (+3);

Vehicles and fuel tanks – 18,159 (+67);

Aircraft – 357 (0);

Helicopters – 326 (0);

UAV operational and tactical level – 10,739 (+40);

Intercepted cruise missiles – 2,268 (0);

Boats/ships – 28 (0).

Humanitarian+general:

  • According to information provided by the Situation Center of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, Russian forces shelled 11 regions of Ukraine over the past day. A total of 98 towns and villages and 117 infrastructure objects were attacked with various types of weapons. The number of casualties is being updated/clarified.
  • During the night of June 3, Russian forces launched missile strikes on a resort in the village of Dachne, Chuhuiv district, Kharkiv Oblast, causing a fire. A 45-year-old man, an internally displaced person from Donetsk Oblast, was killed. Two others were injured.
  • In Donetsk Oblast on June 3, Russian army shelling of the village of Mykhailivka resulted in two fatalities, including a 12-year-old boy. Another civilian was injured.
  • As a result of the Russian shelling of the village of Tomyna Balka in Kherson Oblast, a private house was destroyed, and a local resident was injured. Additionally, two other civilians sustained blast injuries due to shelling in the town of Bilozirka.
  • Over the past day, Russian forces conducted 1982 shelling attacks in Donetsk Oblast, hitting 12 towns and villages, resulting in damage to 22 civilian objects.
  • Due to the deteriorating security situation caused by enemy shelling, it has been decided to evacuate children from the city of Lyman and six villages in Donetsk Oblast. The security situation in the region has significantly worsened over the past week. Currently, about 472,000 residents remain in the territory of Donetsk Oblast. Since the beginning of the full-scale Russian invasion, over 1,415,000 people have been evacuated from safe areas in Donetsk Oblast, including over 168,770 children.
  • As of June 3rd, electricity consumption limits are in effect in all regions of Ukraine.
  • From January to May 2024, 218 civil defense shelters were arranged in schools and kindergartens in Ukraine. In total, it is planned to equip shelters in 1,295 educational institutions throughout the year.

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