Центр оборонних стратегій

Russia’s war on Ukraine. 05.06.2024

In the operational zone of the Ukrainian Operational Group of Forces (OTG) “Kharkiv” on the Kharkiv direction, Russian forces attempted to storm the positions of the Ukrainian Defense Forces near Vovchansk 4 times with air support from the direction of Shebekino.

In the “Khortytsia” Operational-Strategic Group of Forces (OSG) operational zone on the Kupyansk direction, the enemy attacked the positions of the Ukrainian Defense Forces 14 times near Petropavlivka, Synkivka, Stelmakhivka, and Novoyehorivka. 11 of these attacks were repelled. The situation remains tense. Battles continue near Stepova Novoselivka, Berestove, and Nevske. On the Lyman direction, Russian forces unsuccessfully attacked twice from the areas of Zhytlivka and Kreminna. An attempt by the occupiers to approach Bilohorivka on the Siversk direction also failed. On the Kramatorsk direction, the situation is somewhat tense, with the aggressor attempting to attack units of the Ukrainian Defense Forces 7 times in the areas of Kalynivka, Klishchiivka, Andriivka, and Chasiv Yar.

In the “Tavriya” OSG operational zone, on the Toretsk direction, the enemy intensively attacked on the Pokrovsk direction, conducting 37 assaults. The highest activity of Russian forces is observed near Ocheretyne, from where they are trying to penetrate the Defense Forces’ battle formations in various directions. Ukrainian defenders repelled 27 attacks. On the Kurakhove direction, there were 7 clashes. The invaders are trying to advance in the areas of Krasnohorivka, Paraskoviivka, and Vodyane. Battles continue near Krasnohorivka. On the Vremivka direction, there were 6 enemy attacks in the areas of Kostyantynivka, Zolota Nyva, Urozhaine, and Staromayorske. The Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled all assaults and maintained control of the situation. On the Orikhiv direction, 5 enemy attempts to approach the positions of the Ukrainian Defense Forces near Mala Tokmachka, Robotyne, Novodanylivka, and Mali Shcherbaky failed.

In the operational zone of the “Odesa” OSG on the Prydniprovskiy direction, the occupiers persist in their attempts to dislodge the Ukrainian Defense Forces from their positions on the left bank of the Dnipro River. Two attempts by the Russian forces to push the Ukrainian Defense Forces back from Krynky were unsuccessful.

General conclusion: 

  • The Ukrainian Defense Forces have a significant numerical superiority in FPV drones and their operators. Assault groups of the Ukrainian Defense Forces have a 3-4:1 advantage over the enemy in FPV drones, while mechanized tactical groups have a 6-10:1 advantage.
  • Russian troops on the Kharkiv direction are attacking with infantry, while their combat vehicles stay at least 3-5 km away from the international border to avoid destruction.
  • The Ukrainian Defense Forces have an advantage in UAVs, artillery, and electronic warfare near Myrne on the Orikhiv direction, complicating the enemy’s offensive operations.
  • The enemy’s “Vostok” and “Dnepr” Operational Groupings are making efforts to restore their positions on the Tokmak-Melitopol and Staromlynivka directions, where the Ukrainian Defense Forces made advances within the security zone and the first position of the enemy’s main defensive line last summer-fall.
  • The “Vostok” Operational Grouping is preparing to act with its right flank (29th Combined Arms Army) in coordination with the left flank of the “Yug” Operational Grouping to conduct an offensive operation to eliminate the Vuhledar-Kurakhove bridgehead of the Ukrainian Defense Forces.
  • The “Vostok” Operational Grouping persistently tries to advance towards Marinka-Kurakhove, creating pressure on the flank of the “Tavriya” OSG defense on the Novomykhailivka-Kostyantynivka direction, thus forming the northern flank to encircle the Kurakhove-Vuhledar bridgehead of the Ukrainian Defense Forces. Simultaneously, the 29th Combined Arms Army’s attack sector of the “Vostok” Operational Grouping forms the southern flank for this operation. It is likely that the fighting in the Staromayorske area is a diversionary tactic intended to form a strike tactical group of 3-4 brigades and 1-2 regiments in the Mykilske-Novodonetske sector. The likely objective of this tactical group is to break through the Kashlahach River in the Uspenivka area, coinciding with the “Yug” Operational Grouping’s advance towards Kurakhove.

Change in the line of contact (LoC):

  • There were 99 combat engagements on various fronts.
  • On the Kharkiv direction, battles continued near Lyptsi and Hlyboke. Russian forces advanced near Vovchansk to the northern outskirts of Starytsya, both near and within Vovchansk. The Ukrainian Defense Forces control approximately 70% of Vovchansk. Russian artillery is attempting to destroy crossings over the Vovcha River to hinder the logistical support of the Ukrainian Defense Forces, with three bridges already destroyed. UAV strikes are disrupting engineering equipment from establishing positions and fortifications in the Vovchansk area.
  • On the Kupyansk direction, Russian forces advanced near Stelmakhivka. Battles continued near Synkivka, Berestove, and Stepova Novoselivka.
  • On the Lyman direction, the enemy attacked near Nevske, Terny, and Yampil.
  • On the Siversk Direction, Russian forces advanced east of Verkhnyokamianske and south of Rozdolivka, conducting offensive actions in the areas of Bilohorivka, Ivano-Dariivka, Verkhnyokamianske, Vyimka, and Rozdolivka.
  • On the Kramatorsk direction, Russian forces advanced on the eastern outskirts of Chasiv Yar, near Kalynivka, Ivanivske, Klishchiivka, and Andriivka.
  • On the Pokrovsk direction, Russian forces advanced towards Karlivka from Netaylove, trying to squeeze the “Tavriya” OSG units near the Karlivka Reservoir and encircle them. The enemy continued offensive actions in the areas of Novooleksandrivka, Yevhenivka, Prohres, Kalynove, Sokol, Novoselivka Persha, Novopokrovske, Semenivka, Umanske, Karlivka, Netaylove, Yasnobrodivka, Ptyche, and Nevelske.
  • On the Kurakhove direction, Russian forces advanced within the western outskirts of Krasnohorivka and to the west and north of Paraskoviivka, in the fields south of Pobieda, west of Solodke, southeast of Vodyane, and continued offensive actions near Kostyantynivka.
  • On the Vremivka direction, Russian forces attacked in the areas of Staromayorske and Urozhaine. Advanced units of the 60th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade, supported by the 34th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade, pushed Ukrainian Defense Forces units out of Staromayorske, attacking from the west and southwest, but failed to advance north of the Staromayorske-Rivnopil road. The deployment of a motorized rifle regiment of Territorial Defense yielded no results. On the eastern bank of the Mokri Yaly River, units of the 37th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade, supported by the 11th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 1st Army Corps, failed to push Ukrainian Defense Forces units out of Urozhaine, with battles ongoing on the southern outskirts of the village. Units of the 394th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 127th Motorized Rifle Division and separate units of the 34th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade reached the eastern part of the cascade of ponds at the border of Zaporizhzhia and Donetsk Oblasts but could not advance further towards Novodarivka and Rivnopil.
  • On the Orikhiv direction, battles continued near Robotyne, Mala Tokmachka, and Verbove, with Russian forces pushing Ukrainian troops back 500-700 meters from the outskirts of Robotyne and advancing near Myrne and Nesteryanka.
  • On the Prydniprovskiy direction, Russian forces attacked on the left bank of Kherson Oblast and in the Dnipro River delta. Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled several unsuccessful Russian attacks near Krynky. Units of the 810th Separate Marines Brigade of the Black Sea Fleet are attempting to establish control over the islands in the Dnipro River delta, supported by the 30th Artillery Brigade of the 36th Combined Arms Army.
  • In the Black Sea-Azov naval operational area, the enemy naval group on combat duty consists of:
    • Black Sea: 1 ship, including 0 cruise missile carriers; the total salvo is 0 cruise missiles.
    • Mediterranean Sea: 1 ship, including 1 cruise missile carrier; the total salvo is 8 cruise missiles.  

Changes in the enemy disposition:

  • Units of the 7th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 2nd Army Corps are operating on the Siversk direction.
  • The 33rd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 20th Motorized Rifle Division of the 8th Combined Arms Army is active in Paraskoviivka.
  • The 34th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 49th Combined Arms Army has been regrouped from the Prydniprovskiy to the Vremivka direction and is advancing in the sector of the 127th Motorized Rifle Division.
  • The enemy’s “Vostok” Operational Grouping consists of up to 52,100 personnel, 380 tanks, 894 armored combat vehicles, 420 guns and mortars, and 130 multiple rocket launchers. Up to two missile battalions (6-8 operational-tactical missile systems) are operating In the interests of the “Vostok” Operational Grouping. On the Vremivka direction, forces of the 5th, 36th, and 29th Combined Arms Armies and two separate marines brigades are engaged in combat (the 336th Separate Marines Brigade of the Baltic Fleet operates in the sector of the 127th Motorized Rifle Division on its left flank, and the 40th Separate Marines Brigade of the Pacific Fleet operates in the sector of the 29th Combined Arms Army). The enemy’s “Vostok” Operational Grouping comprises 9 brigades, 11 regiments, 3 battalions, and 3 BARS detachments. There are 2 regiments and 3 battalions in the first echelon reserve. Forces of the 35th Combined Arms Army, which include 3 brigades, 1 regiment, 1 battalion, and 2 BARS detachments, are engaged in combat on the Huliaipole direction. The reserve of the grouping in this direction is 1 battalion.
  • The enemy’s 35th Combined Arms Army covers the Polohy direction. The 38th and 64th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigades and the 69th Separate Cover Brigade of this army are active in the areas of Dorozhnianka and Marfopil.

Possible operation situation developments:

  • The enemy’s “Sever” Operational Grouping command is preparing to cross the Vovcha River towards Hatyshche and Synelnykove to create conditions for the further advance of the 25th and 138th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigades of the 6th Combined Arms Army into the city of Vovchansk.
  • Another potential development could be the enemy’s attempt to connect their footholds in the Vovchansk direction with those in the Lyptsi direction. To accomplish this, they might initiate offensive operations toward Buhruvatka-Starytsya, targeting Izbytske and Ternova. This would involve deploying additional motorized rifle and tank battalions on the western bank of the Siversky Donets River.
  • Russian forces may initiate offensive operations on the Zolochiv direction, assembling a strike group 90 km northwest of Kharkiv for this purpose.
  • The enemy will soon capture the “Kanal” neighborhood in Chasiv Yar, as their forward units have taken an enveloping position around this part of the city.
  • The “Center” Operational Grouping command is focused on executing the following operational plan: to establish conditions for the blockade and encirclement of the Kurakhove area or to create advantageous circumstances for launching an offensive operation to encircle “Tavriya” OSG’s defense in Toretsk area from the south.
  • In the near future, the enemy will deploy another tank battalion of the 163rd Tank Regiment of the 150th Motorized Rifle Division in the area of Heorhiivka to increase the pace of the offensive.
  • The Russian military command may redeploy the 7th and 76th Air Assault Divisions from the Robotyne area to the Luhansk, Kherson Oblasts in Ukraine, or Kursk Oblast in Russia.

Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 05.06.24  

Personnel – almost 513,700 (+1280); 

Tanks 7,806 (+12); 

Armored combat vehicles – 15,036 (+16); 

Artillery systems – 13,385 (+40);

Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,092 (0);

Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 830 (+3);

Vehicles and fuel tanks – 18,297 (+69);

Aircraft – 357 (0);

Helicopters – 326 (0);

UAV operational and tactical level – 10,805 (+39);

Intercepted cruise missiles – 2,270 (+2);

Boats/ships – 28 (0).


  • According to information provided by the Situation Center of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, Russian forces shelled 11 regions of Ukraine over the past day. A total of 102 towns and villages and 129 infrastructure objects were attacked with various types of weapons. The number of casualties is being updated/clarified.
  • On the night of June 5, Russian occupiers attacked Ukraine with 27 Shahed-type strike drones, 22 of which were destroyed.
  • Russian occupiers attacked with Shahed drones and shelled Dnipropetrovsk Oblast with artillery during the night and morning of June 5. In Nikopol, an infrastructure facility, 5 private houses, 3 utility buildings, and a power line were damaged, but there were no casualties.
  • On June 5, Russians attacked the village of Inhulets in Kherson Oblast during the distribution of humanitarian aid, injuring 2 men. The injured were taken to the hospital.
  • On the morning of June 5, Russian forces dropped glide bombs on the village of Pivnichne and the city of Selydove in Donetsk Oblast, resulting in 1 death and 5 injuries.
  • In the Zolochiv community of Bohodukhiv district in Kharkiv Oblast, local authorities are forcibly evacuating all children in case of a Russian army offensive.
  • Since the beginning of the full-scale invasion, Russia has destroyed more than half of Ukraine’s electricity production, with generation falling from 55 GW to 20 GW.
  • On Thursday, June 6, a deficit in the energy system is expected throughout the day. Consumption limits will be in place for industrial and residential consumers in each region from 00:00 to 24:00. If limits are exceeded, emergency shutdowns may be applied.

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