Центр оборонних стратегій

Russia’s war on Ukraine. 07.06.2024

In the operational zone of the Ukrainian Operational Group of Forces (OTG) “Kharkiv” on the Kharkiv direction, Russian forces did not conduct active offensive actions but attempted to displace the units of the Ukrainian Defense Forces by exerting intense fire pressure.

In the “Khortytsia” Operational-Strategic Group of Forces (OSG) operational zone on the Kupyansk direction, Russian occupiers attempted to advance towards the positions of the Ukrainian Defense Forces in the areas of Druzhelyubivka and Petropavlivka throughout the day. On the Lyman direction, the enemy attacked 11 times in the areas of Nevske, Serebriansk Forest, Terny, and Myasozharivka. On the Siversk direction, the enemy tried to break through the Ukrainian defense 5 times in the areas of Bilohorivka and Verkhnyokamianske but failed. On the Kramatorsk direction, the activity of Russian invaders was limited to 5 engagements. The situation remains tense, with fighting ongoing in the area of Kalynivka.

In the “Tavriya” OSG operational zone, the enemy showed the most activity on the Pokrovsk direction. Since the beginning of the day, the occupiers have attempted 28 times to penetrate the Ukrainian defense in the areas of Novoselivka Persha, Sokil, Yevhenivka, Kalynove, Novooleksandrivka, Yasnobrodivka, Novopokrovske, and Prohres. Ukrainian Defense Forces are implementing measures to stabilize the situation and prevent the enemy from advancing deeper into Ukrainian territory. On the Kurakhove direction, the enemy unsuccessfully attacked the positions of the Ukrainian Defense Forces 5 times in the areas of Paraskoviivka and Krasnohorivka. The occupiers unsuccessfully stormed positions 9 times on the Vremivka direction in the areas of Staromayorske, Urozhaine, and Novodarivka.

On the Orikhiv and Prydniprovskiy directions, the situation has not changed significantly.

General conclusion: 

  • Russian forces have become more active in the area near the border between Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts.
  • Russian forces are facing logistical challenges through the Kerch Strait after the Ukrainian Defense Forces struck ferries in Kerch on May 29.

Change in the line of contact (LoC):

  • There were 73 combat engagements on various fronts.
  • On the Kharkiv direction, Russian forces advanced near Vovchansk and within Starytsya. Battles occurred near the Aggregate Plant, Starytsya, and Buhruvatka.
  • On the Kupyansk direction, Russian forces advanced northwest of Ivanivka, capturing several Ukrainian positions about 1.5 km south of Vilshana, and continued their offensive near Synkivka, Petropavlivka, Stepova Novoselivka, Stelmakhivka, Myasozharivka, Cherneshchyna, and Druzhelyubivka.
  • On the Lyman direction the enemy attacked near Nevske and in the Serebriansk Forest area.
  • On the Siversk Direction, Russian forces advanced southeast of Bilohorivka, up to 500 meters towards Rozdolivka, and engaged in battles near Verkhnyokamianske, Vyimka, and Rozdolivka.
  • On the Kramatorsk direction, Russian forces advanced southeast of Chasiv Yar on the eastern bank of the Siversky Donets-Donbas Canal, and southeast of the “Novyi” neighborhood. Battles continued near Kalynivka, Ivanivske, the “Kanal” and “Novyi” neighborhoods, and in the areas of Klishchiivka and Andriivka.
  • On the Pokrovsk direction, Russian forces reached the eastern outskirts of Novooleksandrivka and advanced southwest of Kalynove. Battles continued near Kalynove, Novooleksandrivka, Prohres, Yevhenivka, Novopokrovske, Sokol, Novoselivka Persha, Yasnobrodivka, Umanske, and Karlivka.
  • On the Kurakhove direction, Russian forces captured Heorhiivka and now control up to half of Paraskoviivka. Battles occurred near Krasnohorivka and Paraskoviivka.
  • On the Vremivka direction, Russian forces advanced southwest of Urozhaine, near Prechystivka. Positional battles continued in the areas of Urozhaine, Staromayorske, Pryiutne, and Novodarivka.
  • On the Orikhiv direction, Russian forces attacked near Robotyne, Verbove, and Mala Tokmachka, advancing south and southeast of Robotyne.
  • On the Prydniprovskiy direction, Russian forces made minor advances near Krynky, where battles were ongoing. Enemy infantry reached the line along the northern bank of the Krynka River.
  • In the Black Sea-Azov naval operational area, the enemy naval group on combat duty consists of:
    • Azov Sea: 10 ships, including 3 cruise missile carriers; the total salvo is 24 cruise missiles.
    • Black Sea: 1 ship, including 0 cruise missile carrier; the total salvo is 0 cruise missiles.
    • Mediterranean Sea: 1 ship, including 1 cruise missile carrier; the total salvo is 8 cruise missiles.  
  • The Ukrainian Defense Forces struck the Russian Navy “Saturn” tugboat with Magura V5 unmanned boats in Lake Panske, Crimea, sinking the tugboat.
  • The Russian naval command suddenly withdrew 11 Black Sea Fleet ships from the Novorossiysk naval base: 2 Vasily Bykov-class patrol ships, 2 Buyan-M-class small missile ships, 2 Kilo-class submarines, 1 Alexandrite-class minesweeper, 2 Natya-class minesweepers, 1 Tapir-class landing ship, and 2 Ropucha-class landing ships. At least 10 Russian vessels remain close to Novorossiysk, within 2.5 km of the port entrance.

Changes in the enemy disposition:

  • The 375th Separated Anti-Armor Artillery Battalion of the 47th Tank Division of the 1st Tank Army is engaged in combat operations on the Kupiansk direction.
  • Units of the 78th “Sever-Akhmat” Motorized Regiment of the 42nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 58th Army are operating near Chasiv Yar.
  • The 57th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 5th Combined Arms Army is operating near Vuhledar.

Possible operation situation developments:

  • The enemy’s “Sever” Operational Grouping command is preparing to cross the Vovcha River towards Hatyshche and Synelnykove to create conditions for the further advance of the 25th and 138th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigades of the 6th Combined Arms Army into the city of Vovchansk.
  • Another potential development could be the enemy’s attempt to connect their footholds in the Vovchansk direction with those in the Lyptsi direction. To accomplish this, they might initiate offensive operations toward Buhruvatka-Starytsya, targeting Izbytske and Ternova. This would involve deploying additional motorized rifle and tank battalions on the western bank of the Siversky Donets River.
  • Russian forces may initiate offensive operations on the Zolochiv direction, assembling a strike group 90 km northwest of Kharkiv for this purpose.
  • The enemy will soon capture the “Kanal” neighborhood in Chasiv Yar, as their forward units have taken an enveloping position around this part of the city.
  • The “Center” Operational Grouping command is focused on executing the following operational plan: to establish conditions for the blockade and encirclement of the Kurakhove area or to create advantageous circumstances for launching an offensive operation to encircle “Tavriya” OSG’s defense in Toretsk area from the south.
  • In the near future, the enemy will deploy another tank battalion of the 163rd Tank Regiment of the 150th Motorized Rifle Division in the area of Heorhiivka to increase the pace of the offensive.
  • The fighting in the Staromayorske area is a diversionary action aimed at forming a strike tactical group of 3-4 brigades and 1-2 regiments in the Mykilske-Novodonetske sector. The likely objective of this tactical group could be to break through the Kashlahach River in the Uspenivka area simultaneously with the “Yug” Operational Grouping’s advance towards Kurakhove.
  • The Russian military command may redeploy the 7th and 76th Air Assault Divisions from the Robotyne area to the Luhansk, Kherson Oblasts in Ukraine, or Kursk Oblast in Russia.

Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 07.06.24  

Personnel – almost 560,800 (+1080); 

Tanks 7,834 (+6);

Armored combat vehicles – 15,096 (+20); 

Artillery systems – 13,497 (+64);

Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,095 (0);

Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 833 (+2);

Vehicles and fuel tanks – 18,416 (+56);

Aircraft – 357 (0);

Helicopters – 326 (0);

UAV operational and tactical level – 10,886 (+40);

Intercepted cruise missiles – 2,270 (0);

Boats/ships – 29 (+1).


  • In May, at least 174 civilians were killed and 690 were injured in Ukraine, marking the highest number of civilian casualties in a single month since June 2023, said Joyce Msuya, Assistant Secretary-General for Humanitarian Affairs, at a UN Security Council meeting.
  • According to information provided by the Situation Center of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, Russian forces shelled 11 regions of Ukraine over the past day. A total of 74 towns and villages and 87 infrastructure objects were attacked with various types of weapons. The number of casualties is being updated/clarified.
  • On the night of June 7, Russian occupiers struck Ukraine’s critical infrastructure with 5 cruise missiles and 53 “Shahed-131/136” attack UAVs; all missiles and 48 drones were successfully destroyed.
  • As a result of today’s Russian attack, two oil depots in Ukraine were hit by drones, reported Sergey Kuyun, director of the consulting group “A-95”. He noted that since the beginning of the year, there have been 10 attacked oil storage facilities.
  • Russian forces continue their artillery barrage and drone attacks on Nikopol in the Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, injuring 2 women overnight. One person died as a result of Russian shelling in Nikopol in the afternoon of June 7th.
  • Three more children were returned to Ukraine from the occupation: 5-year-old Arina from Zaporizhzhia Oblast, 8-year-old Tikhon from Kharkiv Oblast, and 10-year-old Sofia from Donetsk Oblast. The operation to rescue the little Ukrainians was particularly difficult due to the thorough document check conducted by the Russians at every checkpoint.
  • Due to the heavy concentration of critical infrastructure consuming electricity, some areas of Kyiv have been without power for up to 20 hours.
  • The level of trust in President Volodymyr Zelensky has gradually declined since May 2022, but as of May 2024, the majority of respondents, 59%, trust him, while 36% do not, according to a survey by the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology conducted from May 16 to May 22.
  • In the temporarily occupied city of Mariupol, seized by the Russian army, the occupiers plan to declare 20,000 properties ownerless, said Petro Andryushenko, advisor to the Mayor of Mariupol. The majority of these are apartments. All private houses that need repairs will be dismantled. Apartments will be handed over to the so-called “DPR government.” According to the mayor’s advisor, the “new apartments,” apart from mortgage cases, will be allocated for the resettlement of refugees from Bakhmut, Avdiivka, and other cities and towns “liberated” by the Russian army, indicating a lack of plans for their restoration.

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