Центр оборонних стратегій

Russia’s war on Ukraine. 13.06.2024

In the operational zone of the Ukrainian Operational Group of Forces (OTG) “Kharkiv”on the Kharkiv direction, there were 5 engagements. The enemy’s attempts to approach Ukrainian Defense Forces positions in the areas of Lyptsi, Vovchansk, and Tykhe were unsuccessful.

In the “Khortytsia” Operational-Strategic Group of Forces (OSG) operational zone on the Kupyansk direction, the number of engagements increased to 13. The occupiers conducted active offensive actions in the areas of Synkivka, Petropavlivka, Novoosynove, Pishchane, and Myasozharivka. 9 enemy attacks failed, and fighting continues in the areas of Petropavlivka, Pishchane, and Myasozharivka. On the Lyman direction, the aggressor attacked Ukrainian Defense Forces positions 10 times in the areas of Druzhkivka, Terny, Nevske, and the Serebriansk Forest. Nine attacks were successfully repelled by Ukrainian defenders. Fighting continues in the area of Druzhkivka. The situation remains tense on the Siversk direction. The enemy attempted to dislodge Ukrainian Defense Forces units from their positions14 times with assault actions. Fighting continues in the areas of Spirne and Rozdolivka.  On the Kramatorsk direction, 10 attempts by Russian occupation forces to advance near Chasiv Yar, Ivanivske, and Andriivka failed.

In the “Tavriya” OSG operational zone, the hottest situation remains on the Pokrovsk direction. The enemy continues attempts to penetrate Ukrainian Defense Forces positions in the areas of Kalynove, Novooleksandrivka, Yevhenivka, Novopokrovske, and Novoselivka Persha. The situation is critical, with ongoing engagements. On the Kurakhove direction, the number of enemy attacks increased to 11. The Russian invaders tried to dislodge Ukrainian Defense Forces units from their positions in the areas of Netaylove, Krasnohorivka, Heorhiivka, and Paraskoviivka. The situation remains tense in the area of Krasnohorivka, where the occupiers are most active.  On the Vremivka direction, 5 enemy assault actions near Vodyane and Urozhaine were unsuccessful.

On the Hulyaipole and Prydniprovskiy directions, the situation remained unchanged. The enemy attempted 5 times to dislodge the Ukrainian Defense Forces from their positions in the areas of Mala Tokmachka and Krynky.

General conclusion: 

  • The enemy’s “South” Operational Grouping Command is attempting to form favorable conditions for a breakthrough south of the Kostyantynivka-Bakhmut road beyond the Siversky Donets-Donbas canal and to storm Chasiv Yar from the south. The most dangerous attempts seem to be attacks in the Ivanivske-Stupochky direction, but the advance is hindered by the “Tavriya” OSG units holding positions along the canal near Klishchiivka.
  • A frontal assault on Chasiv Yar from the east by the 98th Airborne Division, the 11th Separate Air Assault Brigade, the 200th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade, the 102nd Motorized Rifle Regiment, and the “Volunteer Corps” units is not considered the primary option by the enemy’s “South” Operational Grouping Command.
  • Reaching the Novopokrovske-Umanske line and capturing Yasnobrodivka would allow the enemy to continue advancing northwest and west towards Lozuvatske, Sokil, and Novoselivka Persha.
  • On the Pokrovsk direction, where the enemy is concentrating its main efforts, it maintains a significant advantage in forces and resources, actively massing them in specific areas and directions to create overwhelming superiority at critical moments. The enemy’s ability to maneuver forces and resources along the front and continually reinforce its forward strike tactical groups gives it a significant advantage over the Ukrainian Defense Forces.
  • The situation on the Pokrovsk direction is difficult and tends to worsen.
  • The appearance of reserves on the adjacent flank of the “Center” and “South” Operational Groupings in the tactical rear of the enemy’s 132nd Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 1st Army Corps, in the direction of Oleksandropil and Kalynove, as well as in the area of Karlivka, will signify an enemy attempt to turn its tactical success into an operational one.
  • The number of Russian sabotage and reconnaissance groups operating on the Sumy direction has decreased, and their activity on Ukrainian territory is paralyzed. Russian forces do not hold any territories in Sumy Oblast, including Ryzhivka. The enemy has failed to establish a lasting presence in this village.

Change in the line of contact (LoC):

  • There were 108 combat engagements on various fronts.
  • On the Kharkiv direction, Russian forces, supported by armored vehicles, made slight advances south of Mykhaila Kotsyubynskoho Street in the northeast of Vovchansk and to the east of Vovchansk, attacking near Tykhe, Lyptsi, and Hlyboke.
  • Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Hlyboke.
  • On the Kupyansk direction, Russian forces unsuccessfully attacked in the areas of Synkivka, Petropavlivka, Pishchane, Berestove, and Myasozharivka.
  • On the Lyman direction Russian forces attacked near Druzhkivka, Hrekivka, Nevske, Torske, and in the Serebriansk Forest area.
  • On the Siversk Direction, Russian forces advanced southeast of Vyimka to the eastern outskirts of Verkhnyokamianske, unsuccessfully attacked Bilohorivka, and are attempting to advance on Siversk from two directions—near Rozdolivka and near Spirne.
  • On the Kramatorsk direction, enemy forward units of the 98th Airborne Division managed to break into the outskirts of Chasiv Yar and take control of nearly half of the “Kanal” neighborhood, where intense close-quarters combat in urban areas continues. The enemy is advancing towards the bridge over the “Siversky Donets-Donbas” canal on Oleksandr Koshevoy Street. Forward units of the 102nd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 150th Motorized Rifle Division, the 72nd Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade, and the 6th Motorized Rifle Division of the 3rd Army Corps began active operations from the Ivanivske area along the “Siversky Donets-Donbas” canal in a southern direction, attempting to collapse the “Khortytsia” OSG defense system along the Klishchiivka-Andriivka line, simultaneously attacking through Klishchiivka in a southwestern direction.
  • On the Pokrovsk direction, enemy forces of the “Center” Operational Grouping are trying to reach the Novopokrovske-Umanske line and capture Yasnobrodivka, which would eliminate the threat of a flank attack on their tactical group operating in the Ocheretyne area, consisting of the 30th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 2nd Army Corps, the 137th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 41st Army Corps, and the 433rd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 27th Motorized Rifle Division.
  • The UkrainianDefense Forces are holding positions in the western part of Novooleksandrivka.
  • On the Kurakhove direction, Russian forces continued their offensive in the areas of Krasnohorivka, Heorhiivka, and Paraskoviivka, advancing in central Krasnohorivka and north of Volodymyrivka.
  • On the Vremivka direction, Russian forces are clearing the controlled part of Staromayorske. Fighting continued near Urozhaine and Staromayorske.
  • On the Orikhiv direction, Russian forces advanced along the forest belt north of Myrne, after which the Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked and restored positions in most areas. Positional battles continued near Robotyne, Verbove, and Mala Tokmachka.
  • On the Prydniprovskiy direction, positional battles continued near Ukrainian bridgeheads.
  • The Ukrainian Defense Forces launched ATACMS missile strikes on the positions of the 12th and 18th Anti-Aircraft Missile Regiments of the 31st Air Defense Division. Radar stations, launchers, and stockpiles of S-300 and S-400 missiles were hit in positional areas north of Yevpatoria, south of Dzhankoy, and near Belbek and Sevastopol in the occupied Crimea.
  • In the Black Sea-Azov naval operational area, the enemy naval group on combat duty consists of:
    • Black Sea: 1 ship, including 1 cruise missile carriers; the total salvo is 4 cruise missiles.
    • Azov Sea: 8 ships, including 3 cruise missile carriers; the total salvo is 24 cruise missiles.
    • Mediterranean Sea: 3 ships, including 2 cruise missile carriers; the total salvo is 12 cruise missiles.  

Changes in the enemy disposition:

  • The 15th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade has received a new replenishment battalion. The fresh 137th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 41st Army has been deployed to the Pokrovsk direction.
  • The 27th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 1st Tank Army is operating near Kupyansk.
  • The 137th Airborne Regiment of the 106th Airborne Division is active near Rozdolivka and Vasyukivka.
  • The 110th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 1st Army Corps is engaged on the Kurakhove direction, and the 5th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 1st Army Corps is operating near Krasnohorivka.

Possible operation situation developments:

  • The enemy’s “Sever” Operational Grouping command is preparing to cross the Vovcha River towards Hatyshche and Synelnykove to create conditions for the further advance of the 25th and 138th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigades of the 6th Combined Arms Army into the city of Vovchansk.
  • Another potential development could be the enemy’s attempt to connect their footholds in the Vovchansk direction with those in the Lyptsi direction. To accomplish this, they might initiate offensive operations toward Buhruvatka-Starytsya, targeting Izbytske and Ternova. This would involve deploying additional motorized rifle and tank battalions on the western bank of the Siversky Donets River.
  • On the Kramatorsk direction, the enemy is expected to soon attempt to push the “Khortytsia” OSG units beyond the canal south of the Kostyantynivka – Bakhmut road. The area of Klishchiivka, defended by the “Khortytsia” OSG units, will significantly complicate the enemy’s plans.
  • The 74th and 55th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigades of the 41st Army, the 15th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 2nd Army, and the 114th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 1st Army Corps, reinforced by several regiments and battalions from territorial troops and mobilization reserves, will soon attempt to break through Vozdvyzhenka towards the Pokrovsk – Kostyantynivka road. Their goal is to cut it off between Malynivka and Nova Poltavka, reach the Vovcha River between Prohres and Komyshivka, and, if conditions allow, establish several bridgeheads.
  • The fighting in the Staromayorske area is a diversionary action aimed at forming a strike tactical group of 3-4 brigades and 1-2 regiments in the Mykilske-Novodonetske sector. The likely objective of this tactical group could be to break through the Kashlahach River in the Uspenivka area simultaneously with the “Yug” Operational Grouping’s advance towards Kurakhove.

Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 13.06.24  

Personnel – almost 522,810 (+980); 

Tanks 7,928 (+17);

Armored combat vehicles – 15,208 (+21); 

Artillery systems – 13,770 (+34);

Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,099 (0);

Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 846 (+2);

Vehicles and fuel tanks – 18,794 (+58);

Aircraft – 359 (0);

Helicopters – 326 (0);

UAV operational and tactical level – 11,075 (+33);

Intercepted cruise missiles – 2,285 (+5);

Boats/ships – 29 (0).


  • According to information provided by the Situation Center of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, Russian forces shelled 9 regions of Ukraine over the past day. A total of 72 towns and villages and 87 infrastructure objects were attacked with various types of weapons. The number of casualties is being updated/clarified.
  • In Kyiv Oblast, the firefighting efforts continue at an industrial enterprise that caught fire due to a Russian attack on the night of June 12, according to the State Emergency Service of Ukraine. The fire has been burning for almost a day and a half. There are 249 rescuers, 98 pieces of equipment, and four firefighting trains on the scene.
  • If Russia continues air attacks on power stations in Ukraine, in the worst-case scenario, Ukrainians could spend up to 20 hours a day without electricity and heating during the winter, according to data from DTEK.
  • Russian forces attacked Novomoskovsk in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, resulting in injuries to two children. A three-year-old girl suffered from explosive trauma, abrasions, and scratches, while a 12-year-old girl experienced an acute stress reaction. The attack caused a fire and damaged nine residential buildings.
  • On June 13, at around 2:15 PM, Russian forces, presumably using mortars, shelled the Daryivka community in the Kherson district. A 40-year-old resident of Tokarivka, who was walking on the street, was killed in the attack.
  • Russian forces fired on the village of Veletenske in the Bilozerska community in Kherson Oblast, with over a dozen hits recorded, injuring a local resident.
  • The Kharkiv Oblast Military Administration is recording fewer shelling attacks of the city of Kharkiv with Russian S-300 missile systems, according to Oleh Synehubov, head of the administration. Previously, Ukrainian forces used HIMARS to destroy four Russian S-300 systems in the Russian Belgorod Oblast.
  • As of May, there are 4.6 million internally displaced persons in Ukraine, but only 1.5 million are receiving payments, stated Deputy Prime Minister and Minister for Reintegration of Temporarily Occupied Territories of Ukraine, Iryna Vereshchuk.
  • According to a Kyiv International Institute of Sociology survey conducted from May 16-22, most Ukrainians – 60% – believe that Russia aims to either destroy the Ukrainian nation (34%) or even physically genocide most of the population (26%). Another 6% think that Russia wants to conquer all territories but leave them with some cultural autonomy within Russia. 12% believe Russia wants to change the government and create a puppet state obedient to Russia. Only 7% believe that the aggressor seeks to retain already occupied territories and does not actually claim all or most of Ukraine’s territory.
  • Fourteen labor brigades for construction work have been organized in Donbas. These brigades consist of children and young people who will work in various regions of Russia during the summer period. Participation in these summer “activities” has become semi-compulsory. Kremlin curators have set a target for local occupation administrations to organize and ensure at least a thousand young “volunteers,” according to the National Resistance Center of the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense.

Centre for Defence Strategies (CDS) is a Ukrainian security think tank. We operate since 2020.

We publish this brief daily. If you would like to subscribe, please send us an email at cds.dailybrief@gmail.com

The CDC Daily Brief is produced with the support of the Kyiv School of Economics https://kse.ua/

Please note, that we subscribe only verified persons and can decline or cancel the subscription at our own discretion

We are an independent, non-government, non-partisan, and non-profit organization. More at www.defence.org.ua

Our Twitter (in English) – https://twitter.com/defence_centre

Our Facebook (in Ukrainian) – https://www.facebook.com/cds.UA

Our brief is for information only and we verify our information to the best possible extent