Центр оборонних стратегій

Russia’s war on Ukraine. 18.06.2024

In the operational zone of the Ukrainian Operational Group of Forces (OTG) “Kharkiv”on the Kharkiv direction, there were 14 Russian attacks in the Vovchansk area and one near the village of Lyptsi. 10 enemy assaults were repelled in Vovchansk. The situation remains tense.

In the “Khortytsia” Operational-Strategic Group of Forces (OSG) operational zone on the Kupyansk direction, the Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled 9 enemy attacks near Synkivka. One enemy attack in the area of Stepova Novoselivka also failed. Fighting continues near Pishchane, Berestove, and Stepova Novoselivka. On the Lyman direction, the number of engagements reached 13. Russian occupiers attempted to advance in the areas of Hrekivka, Makiivka, Terny, Torske, and the Serebriansk Forest. 8 attacks were repelled, and battles are ongoing near Hrekivka, Terny, and in the Serebriansk Forest. On the Kramatorsk direction, the enemy’s assault actions near Klishchiivka failed. Fighting continues in the areas of Hryhorivka and Chasiv Yar.

In the “Tavriya” OSG operational zone, the hottest situation remains on the Pokrovsk direction. The enemy continues to search for weak spots in the Ukrainian defense, persistently trying to penetrate the Ukrainian defensive lines with continuous assault actions, having conducted 42 attacks, 32 of which were repelled. Fighting is ongoing in the areas of Novooleksandrivka, Yevhenivka, Novoselivka Persha, Yasnobrodivka, and Sokil. The Ukrainian Defense Forces are taking measures to prevent the enemy’s advance. On the Kurakhove direction, the number of combat engagements increased to 11. The occupiers are concentrating efforts towards Krasnohorivka, where 3 of their attacks were repelled. Near Heorhiivka and Paraskoviivka, the enemy’s activity did not achieve success. Measures are being taken to prevent the occupiers’ advance.

In the operational zone of the “Odesa” OSG on the Prydniprovskiy directionthe Russian aggressor attacked the units of the Ukrainian Defense Forces on the left bank of the Dnipro River 3 times, but without success.

General conclusion: 

  • Russian forces have intensified their assaults on the Chasiv Yar direction.
  • The enemy’s “Center” Operational Grouping has strong reserves.
  • The command of the enemy’s “Center” Operational Grouping intends to break through the prepared defensive line of the “Tavriya” OSG along the Vovcha, Kazenyi Torets, and Bychok rivers, and a series of heights stretching from the northeast to the southwest.
  • The enemy is close to initiating battles for the largest “Tavriya” OSG defensive node, east of the Vovcha River – the village of Novoselivka Persha, where it is advancing from the south of Umanske.

Change in the line of contact (LoC):

  • There were 119 combat engagements on various fronts.
  • On the Kharkiv direction, Russian forces repelled a counterattack by the Ukrainian Defense Forces in the northwestern part of Hlyboke from the direction of Tykhe. Ukrainian Defense Forces are attacking near the aggregate producing plant in Vovchansk.
  • Russian forces attacked in the area of Lyptsi, in the center of Vovchansk, and near Vovchanski Khutory.
  • On the Kupyansk direction, Russian forces continued offensive actions in the areas of Synkivka, Pishchane, Stepova Novoselivka, Berestove, advancing west of Ivanivka and Kotlyarivka.
  • On the Lyman direction, fighting continued near Hrekivka, Makiivka, Druzhelyubivka, Torske, and Terny.
  • On the Siversk Direction, Russian forces advanced west of Rozdolivka, near Bilohorivka. Fighting continued near Verkhnyokamianske, Ivanodarivka, and Vyimka.
  • On the Kramatorsk direction, Russian forces advanced southwest of Klishchiivka, west of Kalynivka. Units of the 200th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 14th Army Corps are advancing towards the Siversky Donets-Donbas canal in Kalynivka. Fighting continued near Hryhorivka, Kalynivka, Bohdanivka, on the eastern outskirts of Chasiv Yar, in the area of Klishchiivka and Andriivka.
  • On the Pokrovsk direction, Russian forces advanced south of Sokil, slightly advanced north of Umanske, northeast of Novooleksandrivka. Fighting continued near Kalynove, Novooleksandrivka, Yevhenivka, Novoselivka Persha, Yasnobrodivka, Nevelske, and Karlivka.
  • On the Kurakhove direction, Russian forces advanced in Krasnohorivka. Fighting continued near Heorhiivka, Maksymilianivka, Paraskoviivka, Kostyantynivka, and Vodyane.
  • On the Vremivka direction, fighting continued in the area of Staromayorske and Urozhaine.
  • On the Orikhiv direction, Russian forces continued the assault near Robotyne and near Mala Tokmachka.
  • On the Prydniprovskiy direction, positional battles continued on the left bank of Kherson Oblast in the area of Krynky.
  • In the Black Sea-Azov naval operational area, the enemy naval group on combat duty consists of:
    • Black Sea: 1 ship, including 1 cruise missile carriers; the total salvo is 4 cruise missiles.
    • Azov Sea: 6 ships, including 3 cruise missile carriers; the total salvo is 24 cruise missiles.
    • Mediterranean Sea: 1 ship, including 1 cruise missile carrier; the total salvo is 8 cruise missiles.  

Changes in the enemy disposition:

  • The Russian military command has redeployed the 155th Separate Marines Brigade of the Pacific Fleet to the direction of Lyptsi from the area west and southwest of Donetsk city.
  • The 27th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 1st Tank Army is operating near Stelmakhivka.
  • Units of the 291st Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 42nd Motorized Rifle Division are engaged in combat northwest of Robotyne, in the area of Pyatykhatky and Zherebyanky.
  • The 76th Air Assault Division is operating on the Prydniprovskiy direction.
  • The enemy’s “Center” Operational Grouping consists of around 87,000 troops, with 68,000-70,000 deployed directly on the Pokrovsk direction. They have up to 365 tanks, with 320 on the Pokrovsk direction, and about 25% in for repairs. There are up to 865 armored fighting vehicles, with two-thirds concentrated on the Pokrovsk direction. In the last month, they received reinforcements of two battalion sets of armored vehicles, each with 55-65 units. Their artillery includes up to 770 guns and mortars, and up to 210 multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS). The missile force includes two “Iskander” battalions with 8 launchers.

Possible operation situation developments:

  • On the Kramatorsk direction, the enemy is expected to soon attempt to push the “Khortytsia” OSG units beyond the canal south of the Kostyantynivka – Bakhmut road. The area of Klishchiivka, defended by the “Khortytsia” OSG units, will significantly complicate the enemy’s plans.
  • The 74th and 55th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigades of the 41st Army, the 15th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 2nd Army, and the 114th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 1st Army Corps, reinforced by several regiments and battalions from territorial troops and mobilization reserves, will soon attempt to break through Vozdvyzhenka towards the Pokrovsk – Kostyantynivka road. Their goal is to cut it off between Malynivka and Nova Poltavka, reach the Vovcha River between Prohres and Komyshivka, and, if conditions allow, establish several bridgeheads.
  • It is expected that the intensity of enemy attacks in the direction of Sokil – Yevhenivka – Vovche will increase, aiming to break through to the Prohres area and thus support from the north the operations of their tactical group preparing for battles for Novoselivka Persha.
  • The fighting in the Staromayorske area is a diversionary action aimed at forming a strike tactical group of 3-4 brigades and 1-2 regiments in the Mykilske-Novodonetske sector. The likely objective of this tactical group could be to break through the Kashlahach River in the Uspenivka area simultaneously with the “Yug” Operational Grouping’s advance towards Kurakhove.

Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 18.06.24  

Personnel – almost 528,620 (+1230); 

Tanks 7,974 (+16);

Armored combat vehicles – 15,307 (+20); 

Artillery systems – 13,959 (+32);

Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,104 (0);

Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 853 (0);

Vehicles and fuel tanks – 19,031 (+40);

Aircraft – 359 (0);

Helicopters – 326 (0);

UAV operational and tactical level – 11,187 (+20);

Intercepted cruise missiles – 2,297 (+1);

Boats/ships – 29 (0).

Humanitarian+general:

  • According to information provided by the Situation Center of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, Russian forces shelled 11 regions of Ukraine over the past day. A total of 77 towns and villages and 95 infrastructure objects were attacked with various types of weapons. The number of casualties is being updated/clarified.
  • During the night of June 18, Russian forces attacked Ukraine with 10 “Shahed-131/136” strike UAVs, all of which were shot down.
  • On June 18, the Russian army shelled the Nikopol district in the Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, injuring a man. Another person was wounded by a “Shahed” drone attack in the Dniprovskyi district that night.
  • As a result of the Russian shelling of Kurylivka in the Kupyansk district of Kharkiv Oblast on June 18, a man was injured.
  • On June 18, the Russian army carried out an airstrike on the village of Slatyne in the Kharkiv district, causing damage to buildings. A 51-year-old local woman was injured.
  • Over the past day, June 17, the Russian army conducted 2,177 shellings in Donetsk Oblast, with strikes recorded in nine settlements, damaging 13 civilian objects. One resident of the Donetsk region was killed, and another was injured.
  • On June 17, 2024, Ukrainian military personnel received information that representatives of one of the units of the Russian occupation forces in the Volnovakha district of Donetsk Oblast ordered their subordinates not to take Ukrainian Armed Forces personnel prisoner and to decapitate them. During an aerial reconnaissance in one of the combat positions in Donetsk Oblast, Ukrainian military discovered a damaged armored vehicle of the Defense Forces of Ukraine with the severed head of a Ukrainian defender on it.

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