Центр оборонних стратегій

Russia’s war on Ukraine. 19.06.2024

In the operational zone of the Ukrainian Operational Group of Forces (OTG) “Kharkiv”, there were 6 combat engagements on the Kharkiv direction.

In the “Khortytsia” Operational-Strategic Group of Forces (OSG) operational zone the number of combat engagements on the Kupyansk direction increased to 12. Eight enemy attacks near Synkivka, Stepova Novoselivka, and Pishchane were repelled.  On the Lyman direction, the enemy tried 13 times to displace the Ukrainian Defense Forces from their positions in the areas of Hrekivka, Makiivka, Terny, and Serebriansk Forest. 12 attacks were repelled, and fighting continues near Terny. On the Siversk direction, the Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled 13 enemy attacks near Rozdolivka, Spirne, Verkhnyokamianske, and Vyimka. Fighting in the Verkhnyokamianske area continues. The Russian aggressor has intensified actions on the Kramatorsk direction, making 6 attempts to approach the “Novyi” neighborhood in Chasiv Yar, 4 of which were repelled. Additionally, the enemy conducts active assaults near Ivanivske, Pivdenne, and New York.

In the “Tavriya” OSG operational zone, the situation remains hottest on the Pokrovsk direction, where the number of enemy assaults reached 37. The occupiers tried to breach the defense near Oleksandropol, Novooleksandrivka, Yevhenivka, Novoselivka Persha, Novopokrovske, Sokil, and Karlivka. The Ukrainian Defense Forces are taking measures to prevent enemy advancement and stabilize the situation. 20 attacks were repelled, and 17 battles are ongoing. On the Kurakhove direction, 3 enemy attempts to displace the Ukrainian Defense Forces from their positions near Krasnohorivka were unsuccessful. On the Vremivka direction, 2 enemy attacks near Urozhaine and Novodarivka failed. Additionally, 2 enemy attacks on the Orikhiv direction near Novodanylivka and Mala Tokmachka also failed.

On other directions, the situation has not significantly changed.

General conclusion: 

  • Russian forces are constantly assaulting and quickly replenishing reserves on the Kharkiv direction, contributing to the high intensity of fighting in this area.
  • Russian forces have significantly intensified combat operations on the Svatove direction.
  • On the Pokrovsk direction, the enemy operates in small groups of 5-6 personnel, equipped with mobile EW systems.
  • The chemical, biological, radiological, and nuclear defense regiment of the 36th Army is using TOS-1A heavy flamethrower systems near Urozhaine.
  • The 3rd and 144th Motorized Rifle Divisions of the 20th Army, reinforced by special forces and private military company units, are attempting to advance in the Cherneshchyna-Pershotravneve direction to capture Borova.

Change in the line of contact (LoC):

  • There were 113 combat engagements on various fronts.
  • On the Kharkiv direction, the Ukrainian Defense Forces recaptured positions near Lyptsi and Hlyboke.
  • Fighting continued near Lyptsi, Zelenyi Hai, and Neskuchne. The enemy advanced in Vovchansk.
  • At the aggregate producing plant in Vovchansk, the “Rusich” unit, formed from Russian neo-Nazis involved in the torture and execution of Ukrainian prisoners of war, is surrounded along with others.
  • On the Kupyansk direction, Russian forces advanced northeast of Torske, advanced west of Krokhmalne towards Pishchane, continued attacks near Synkivka, Ivanivka, Stepova Novoselivka, Kotlyarivka, Berestove, Hrekivka, and Makiivka.
  • On the Lyman direction, fighting continued near Terny, in the area of the Serebriansk Forest.
  • On the Siversk Direction, Russian forces continued advancing in the area of Verkhnyokamianske, Spirne, Vyimka, and Rozdolivka.
  • On the Kramatorsk direction, Russian forces continued attacks on the eastern outskirts of Chasiv Yar, near Hryhorivka, Bohdanivka, Ivanivske, Klishchiivka, and Andriivka, and attacked 5 times near New York, Pivnichne, and Pivdenne.
  • On the Pokrovsk direction, Russian forces advanced north of Sokol, in the fields near the eastern outskirts of Yasnobrodivka, northwest of Arkhanhelske, within Sokol, west of it towards Yevhenivka, northeast of Yevhenivka, and north of Umanske. Fighting continued near Novooleksandrivka, Novoselivka Persha, Kalynove, Oleksandropil, and Novopokrovske, Umanske, and Netaylove.
  • On the Kurakhove direction, Russian forces continued attacks near Krasnohorivka, Heorhiivka, Paraskoviivka, Volodymyrivka, and attacked near Kostyantynivka and Maksymilianivka but have not yet entered the village.
  • On the Vremivka direction, the enemy attacked near Urozhaine and Novodarivka.
  • On the Orikhiv direction, Russian forces attacked near Mala Tokmachka and Novodanylivka.
  • On the Prydniprovskiy direction, positional battles continued near Krynky and Kozachi Laheri.
  • In the Black Sea-Azov naval operational area, the enemy naval group on combat duty consists of:
    • Black Sea: 2 ships, including 1 cruise missile carrier; the total salvo is 4 cruise missiles.
    • Azov Sea: 8 ships, including 2 cruise missile carriers; the total salvo is 16 cruise missiles.
    • Mediterranean Sea: 1 ship, including 1 cruise missile carrier; the total salvo is 8 cruise missiles.  

Changes in the enemy disposition:

  • An airborne assault battalion of the 155th Separate Marines Brigade of the Pacific Fleet, a battalion of the 810th Separate Marines Brigade of the Black Sea Fleet, a BTG of the 9th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 1st Army Corps, the 116th Separated Brigade of Operative Purpose of the Rosgvardiya, and the 18th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade are engaged in combat near Vovchansk.
  • The 27th Motorized Rifle Division of the 2nd Combined Arms Army and the 132nd Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 1st Army Corps are advancing on Kalynove and Stara Mykolaivka. Four motorized rifle brigades of the 2nd and 41st Combined Arms Armies, reinforced by at least two regiments of the 90th Tank Division, are advancing towards Vozdvyzhenka. The 433rd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 27th Motorized Rifle Division is advancing near Sokil.
  • The 503rd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 19th Motorized Rifle Division of the 58th Combined Arms Army is operating in the area of Robotyne.

Possible operation situation developments:

  • On the Kramatorsk direction, the enemy is expected to soon attempt to push the “Khortytsia” OSG units beyond the canal south of the Kostyantynivka – Bakhmut road. The area of Klishchiivka, defended by the “Khortytsia” OSG units, will significantly complicate the enemy’s plans.
  • The 74th and 55th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigades of the 41st Army, the 15th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 2nd Army, and the 114th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 1st Army Corps, reinforced by several regiments and battalions from territorial troops and mobilization reserves, will soon attempt to break through Vozdvyzhenka towards the Pokrovsk – Kostyantynivka road. Their goal is to cut it off between Malynivka and Nova Poltavka, reach the Vovcha River between Prohres and Komyshivka, and, if conditions allow, establish several bridgeheads.
  • It is expected that the intensity of enemy attacks in the direction of Sokil – Yevhenivka – Vovche will increase, aiming to break through to the Prohres area and thus support from the north the operations of their tactical group preparing for battles for Novoselivka Persha.
  • The fighting in the Staromayorske area is a diversionary action aimed at forming a strike tactical group of 3-4 brigades and 1-2 regiments in the Mykilske-Novodonetske sector. The likely objective of this tactical group could be to break through the Kashlahach River in the Uspenivka area simultaneously with the “Yug” Operational Grouping’s advance towards Kurakhove.

Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 19.06.24  

Personnel – almost 529,750 (+1130); 

Tanks 7,984 (+10);

Armored combat vehicles – 15,319 (+12); 

Artillery systems – 14,007 (+48);

Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,104 (0);

Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 857 (+4);

Vehicles and fuel tanks – 19,078 (+47);

Aircraft – 359 (0);

Helicopters – 326 (0);

UAV operational and tactical level – 11,221 (+34);

Intercepted cruise missiles – 2,297 (0);

Boats/ships – 29 (0).

Humanitarian+general:

  • As of the morning of June 19, 2024, according to official information from juvenile prosecutors, 551 children have been killed and over 1,388 have sustained various degrees of injury due to the Russian full scale aggression against Ukraine.
  • According to information provided by the Situation Center of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, Russian forces shelled 10 regions of Ukraine over the past day. A total of 76 towns and villages and 61 infrastructure objects were attacked with various types of weapons. The number of casualties is being updated/clarified.
  • On the night of June 19, Russian forces attacked Ukraine with 21 Shahed-131/136 strike UAVs, 19 of which were destroyed.
  • On the night of June 19, Russian occupiers attacked Kherson from the temporarily occupied left bank several times. Residential areas of the city were under fire, resulting in private residential houses burning, and one person getting injured.
  • In the morning of June 19, Russian occupiers struck a residential building in the village of Olhivka in the Beryslav district of Kherson Oblast, injuring a 67-year-old woman.
  • On June 19, Russian troops shelled the Kharkiv and Kupiansk districts in Kharkiv Oblast: a woman was killed, and three others were injured.
  • In the morning of June 19, Russian forces shelled a hospital in the city of Kherson with “Grad” MLRS, damaging a garage and two ambulances.
  • In Lviv Oblast, all 5 Shahed drones were destroyed during the night. Due to a drone strike in Malehiv of the Lviv community, two men aged 47 and 70 were injured.
  • Around 16:00 in the Poltava region, an enemy guided aviation missile, likely an X-59/69 targeting critical infrastructure, was destroyed.
  • In the evening of June 19, Russian forces attacked the coastal area of Odesa with a ballistic missile. The strike damaged recreational infrastructure, and a fire broke out in dry grass in an open area, which was subsequently extinguished. No people were harmed.
  • Russian occupation authorities continue to erase the memory of their past crimes in Mariupol. First, they destroyed the “Milana” mural, which depicted a girl injured during the shelling of the “Skhidnyi” district back in 2015. Today they dismantled the monument to the victims of the same attack. (Note: On January 24, 2015. Russia shelled the “Skhidnyi” residential district of Mariupol using “Grad” MLRS. The attack resulted in the deaths of 31 people, including two children, and injured 125 civilians, among them nine children.)

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