Центр оборонних стратегій

Russia’s war on Ukraine. 20.06.2024

In the operational zone of the Ukrainian Operational Group of Forces (OTG) “Kharkiv” on the Kharkiv direction Russian forces, supported by aviation, unsuccessfully attacked 6 times in the areas of Lyptsi and Vovchansk.

In the “Khortytsia” Operational-Strategic Group of Forces (OSG) operational zone on the Kupyansk direction the enemy made 11 attempts to push the Ukrainian Defense Forces from their positions in the areas of Synkivka, Stepova Novoselivka, Pishchane, and Kruhlyakivka. 8 enemy attacks were successfully repelled, and fighting continues near Stepova Novoselivka. On the Lyman direction, Russian invaders tried to advance 15 times in the areas of Hrekivka, Nevske, Terny, and the Serebriansk Forest. Ukrainian defenders successfully repelled 14 enemy attacks. Fighting continues near Terny.  On the Siversk direction, Russian forces attacked 9 times in the areas of Verkhnyokamianske, Rozdolivka, and the “Novyi” neighborhood in Chasiv Yar. 6 of the enemy’s attacks failed. The aggressor significantly intensified its efforts on the Kramatorsk direction. With aviation support, Russian forces launched 17 assaults on the Ukrainian Defense Forces’ positions from the Bakhmut area. Fighting occurred near Bohdanivka, Kalynivka, Ivanivske, Klishchiivka, and Andriivka. The situation is tense, with 12 enemy attacks repelled. The Ukrainian Defense Forces are making maximum efforts to contain the enemy on this direction.

In the “Tavriya” OSG operational zone, on the Toretsk direction, the occupiers made 6 attempts to break through Ukrainian defensive lines east of Pivnichne. Ukrainian soldiers repelled 4 enemy attacks. On the Pokrovsk direction, Russian forces maintain high activity, with the number of clashes rising to 43. Supported by all available means of fire (aviation, artillery, armored vehicle weapons, strike UAVs, FPV drones, and small arms), the invaders continue their pressure on the Ukrainian defenders’ positions near Oleksandropil, Novooleksandrivka, Kalynove, Yevhenivka, Sokil, Novoselivka Persha, and Karlivka. Ukrainian soldiers repelled 31 enemy attacks. The Ukrainian Defense Forces are making maximum efforts to exhaust and contain the enemy. On the Kurakhove direction, the situation has not changed significantly, with 10 clashes taking place. The situation remains tense near Krasnohorivka, where the enemy maintains significant activity. On the Vremivka and Orikhiv directions, the situation has not changed significantly.

In the operational zone of the “Odesa” OSG on the Prydniprovskiy direction, 5 enemy assaults were unsuccessful.

General conclusion: 

  • Russian forces are attempting to cut off the logistics of the Ukrainian Defense Forces to further isolate their units on the left bank of the Oskil River as part of preparations for an offensive operation in the Borova area.
  • On the Svatove direction, Russian forces can constantly replenish forward units with mobilized personnel arriving at the front after two weeks of training.
  • On the Siversk direction, Russian forces mostly attack in small infantry groups of up to a squad.
  • A sudden intensification of Russian assaults was observed on the Toretsk direction in the evening of June 18.
  • The enemy is advancing on motorcycles on the Vuhledar direction.
  • Russian forces increasingly deploy engineering units and use the Illich Iron and Steel Works in occupied Mariupol to build a new military base.

Change in the line of contact (LoC):

  • There were 122 combat engagements on various fronts.
  • On the Kharkiv direction, the Ukrainian Defense Forces liberated Tykhe and areas in the southern and central parts of Starytsya, while slightly reducing the intensity of their counterattacks in the Hlyboke area.
  • On the Kupyansk direction, the enemy launched a missile strike on the bridge over the Oskil River southwest of Borova and advanced towards Kruhlyakivka. Fighting continued near Synkivka, Stepova Novoselivka, Pishchane, and Stelmakhivka.
  • On the Lyman direction, battles continued near Hrekivka, Makiivka, Nevske, Terny, and the Serebriansk Forest.
  • On the Siversk Direction, Russian forces intensified attacks and advanced in the Rozdolivka area, attempting to encircle Ukrainian positions from the east, south, and west. However, their progress was hampered by the well-organized defense of the “Khortytsia” OSG units and their uninterrupted supply lines. Units of the 51st Airborne Regiment of the 106th Airborne Division are advancing north of Vesele along the railway, continuing their offensive near Verkhnyokamianske, Spirne, and Vyimka.
  • On the Kramatorsk direction, Russian forces made slight advances in central Kalynivka, began assaulting the eastern outskirts of Chasiv Yar, and attacked near Bohdanivka, Ivanivske, Klishchiivka, and Andriivka.
  • On the Toretsk direction, Russian forces advanced to the eastern outskirts of Pivnichne and near New York, attacking near Pivnichne, Druzhba, Shumy, Pivdenne, Zalizne, New York, and Oleksandropil, with intensive artillery fire and air and UAV strikes preceding their offensive west of Horlivka.
  • On the Pokrovsk direction, Russian forces advanced in the areas of Novooleksandrivka, Kalynove, Sokil, Novopokrovske, Yevhenivka, Novoselivka Persha, Karlivka, and Nevelske, reaching the southeastern outskirts of Yasnobrodivka, advancing up to 1 km from Sokil and north of Umanske, and establishing a position near the Karlivka Reservoir.
  • On the Kurakhove direction, Russian forces made slight advances in the fields south of Heorhiivka, continued their offensive near Krasnohorivka, Paraskoviivka, Maksymilianivka, Kostyantynivka, and on the Vuhledar direction.
  • On the Vremivka direction, Russian forces attacked near Urozhaine, Rivnopil, and Novodarivka. Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Staromayorske.
  • On the Orikhiv direction, battles continued near Robotyne, Verbove, Mala Tokmachka, Novopokrovka, and Novodanylivka.
  • On the Prydniprovskiy direction, Russian forces made slight advances north of Korsunka, with positional fighting continuing on the eastern bank of Kherson Oblast, including near Krynky.
  • In the Black Sea-Azov naval operational area, the enemy naval group on combat duty consists of:
    • Black Sea: 2 ships, including 1 cruise missile carrier; the total salvo is 4 cruise missiles.
    • Azov Sea: 8 ships, including 3 cruise missile carriers; the total salvo is 24 cruise missiles.
    • Mediterranean Sea: 1 ship, including 1 cruise missile carrier; the total salvo is 8 cruise missiles.  
  • The enemy has increased the number of barges in the boom barrier of the Kerch Bridge by 1.5 times.

Changes in the enemy disposition:

  • The 433rd Rifle Regiment of the 27th Motorized Rifle Division of the 2nd Army is engaged in combat operations near Yevhenivka.

Possible operation situation developments:

  • On the Kramatorsk direction, the enemy is expected to soon attempt to push the “Khortytsia” OSG units beyond the canal south of the Kostyantynivka – Bakhmut road. The area of Klishchiivka, defended by the “Khortytsia” OSG units, will significantly complicate the enemy’s plans.
  • The 74th and 55th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigades of the 41st Army, the 15th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 2nd Army, and the 114th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 1st Army Corps, reinforced by several regiments and battalions from territorial troops and mobilization reserves, will soon attempt to break through Vozdvyzhenka towards the Pokrovsk – Kostyantynivka road. Their goal is to cut it off between Malynivka and Nova Poltavka, reach the Vovcha River between Prohres and Komyshivka, and, if conditions allow, establish several bridgeheads.
  • It is expected that the intensity of enemy attacks in the direction of Sokil – Yevhenivka – Vovche will increase, aiming to break through to the Prohres area and thus support from the north the operations of their tactical group preparing for battles for Novoselivka Persha.
  • The fighting in the Staromayorske area is a diversionary action aimed at forming a strike tactical group of 3-4 brigades and 1-2 regiments in the Mykilske-Novodonetske sector. The likely objective of this tactical group could be to break through the Kashlahach River in the Uspenivka area simultaneously with the “Yug” Operational Grouping’s advance towards Kurakhove.

Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 20.06.24  

Personnel – almost 530,920 (+1170); 

Tanks 7,987 (+3);

Armored combat vehicles – 15,337 (+18); 

Artillery systems – 14,052 (+45);

Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,105 (+1);

Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 859 (+2);

Vehicles and fuel tanks – 19,134 (+56);

Aircraft – 359 (0);

Helicopters – 326 (0);

UAV operational and tactical level – 11,260 (+39);

Intercepted cruise missiles – 2,298 (+1);

Boats/ships – 29 (0).


  • According to information provided by the Situation Center of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, Russian forces shelled 10 regions of Ukraine over the past day. A total of 76 towns and villages and 61 infrastructure objects were attacked with various types of weapons. The number of casualties is being updated/clarified.
  • On the night of Thursday, June 20, Russia launched another combined attack on Ukraine. Air defense forces destroyed 5 out of 9 missiles and all 27 kamikaze drones.
  • Ukrenergo reported that on the night of June 20, Russian attacks damaged civilian energy infrastructure in four regions of Ukraine: Vinnytsia, Dnipropetrovsk, Donetsk, and Kyiv.
  • Russian military forces attacked a DTEK thermal power plant overnight on June 20, injuring three energy workers and severely damaging the plant’s equipment. DTEK noted that this is the seventh massive attack on its thermal power plants in the past three months.
  • Due to the massive combined attack on the night of June 20, three people were injured in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, and seven houses, outbuildings, and a power line were damaged.
  • As a result of the Russian attack on June 20, the city of Kherson was left without electricity.
  • In the morning of June 20, Russian military forces shelled a civilian car in the village of Tekstylne in Kherson Oblast, killing a 43-year-old man.
  • On June 20, Russian military forces struck the village of Rozkishne in Donetsk Oblast with cluster munitions, killing three people and injuring four others.

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