Центр оборонних стратегій

Russia’s war on Ukraine. 24.06.2024

In the operational zone of the Ukrainian Operational Group of Forces (OTG) “Kharkiv” 5 enemy attacks were successfully repelled in the Vovchansk area on the Kharkiv direction.

In the “Khortytsia” Operational-Strategic Group of Forces (OSG) operational zone the Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled 9 Russian attacks on the Kupyansk direction. Additionally, fighting continues in the areas of Pishchane and Stelmakhivka. On the Lyman direction, there were 9 enemy attempts to advance towards Kopanky, Makiivka, and the Serebriansk Forest.On the Siversk direction, the occupiers failed in their assault attempts near Rozdolivka and Vyimka. 7 enemy attacks were stopped on the Toretsk direction.

In the “Tavriya” OSG operational zone the enemy is concentrating significant efforts on the Pokrovsk direction. The Russian invaders made 46 attempts to dislodge the Defense Forces from their positions. More than half of the attacks were launched from the Ocheretyne area. The situation is tense, with ongoing battles for the village of Novooleksandrivka. The Ukrainian Defense Forces are taking measures to stabilize the situation and prevent the Russian forces from advancing further into Ukrainian territory. On the Vremivka direction, there were 4 engagements. Enemy assaults were thwarted in the areas of Urozhaine and Staromayorske.

In other directions, the situation remains unchanged at this time.

General conclusion: 

  • The enemy’s “Sever (North)” Operational Grouping cannot establish a reliable supply line for its troops advancing on the Kharkiv direction, resulting in a noticeable shortage of manpower. The command of the enemy’s Southwestern Theater of Operations does not allocate reinforcements due to the secondary importance of this direction, preventing any significant success in Vovchansk.
  • The enemy’s grouping in the Kupyansk direction is estimated to comprise 72,000 personnel, about half of whom are actively engaged in combat. Losses remain high, prompting the transfer of reinforcements from Zaporizhzhia, Luhansk, and Rostov Oblasts to maintain the offensive tempo.
  • The enemy is attempting to expand its zone of control in the areas east of the village of Pivnichne.
  • Russian attempts to advance north and south of Chasiv Yar have so far been unsuccessful. The enemy has suffered heavy personnel losses in the 98th Airborne Division, attempting to replace them with mobilized troops, personnel from BARS units, and regular infantry from mobilized ranks. Reinforcements are being transferred to this direction from the Rostov and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts.
  • In Klishchiivka and Andriivka, the Ukrainian Defense Forces have improved their positions, controlling part of the ruined village, not just the heights to the west. In Andriivka, the occupiers conduct regular assaults but achieve no results besides incurring losses.
  • The Russian strike group on the Toretsk direction initially had up to 15,000 personnel, but part of the forces was withdrawn as reserves to reinforce the directions of Ocheretyne and Chasiv Yar, leaving 5 brigades with up to 10,000 personnel to conduct the offensive.
  • Russian forces have achieved tactical successes and could reach Toretsk in the coming days.
  • The enemy conducted several attacks west of Novooleksandrivka and managed to advance 1.5-2 km, covering about 500 meters north of Novooleksandrivka towards Vozdvyzhenka. This direction sees the highest losses for the enemy, forcing the military command to further weaken its “Dnepr” Operational Grouping and transfer some forces to this area.
  • The enemy has concentrated up to 48,000 personnel directly near the front line from Heorhiivka in the south to Novooleksandrivka in the north, with another 22,000 in the tactical rear. The grouping’s objective is to reach Malynivka and cut the Pokrovsk-Kostyantynivka-Kramatorsk highway.
  • “Tavriya” OSG has been unable to halt the enemy’s advance towards Vozdvyzhenka, which poses a threat to the flank of the Ukrainian Defense Forces’ tactical group holding the enemy’s advance on the Novooleksandrivka-Oleksandropil section. The enemy aims to cut the Pokrovsk-Kostyantynivka logistic route.
  • The Vuhledar direction is considered promising by the Russian military command, which seeks to cut the supply lines of the Ukrainian Defense Forces in Vuhledar and achieve at least a semi-encirclement of the Ukrainian Defense Forces in this area by August.

Change in the line of contact (LoC):

  • There were 116 combat engagements on various fronts.
  • On the Kharkiv direction, Russian forces repelled counterattacks by the Ukrainian Defense Forces near Hlyboke and Vovchansk and struck Lyptsi with 23 glide bombs. The 36th Separate Marines Brigade of the Ukrainian Defense Forces stopped an enemy night raid on the northeastern outskirts of Vovchansk.
  • On the Kupyansk direction, Russian troops attacked in the areas of Synkivka, Pishchane, Stelmakhivka, Berestove, Stepova Novoselivka, Andriivka, Kopanky, and Myasozharivka.
  • On the Lyman direction, units of the 36th and 37th Motorized Rifle Regiments of the 67th Motorized Rifle Division of the 25th Army Corps advanced near Torske, supported by the 19th Tank Regiment of the 67th Motorized Rifle Division. Fighting continued near Novosadove, Makiivka, Nevske, Terny, and in the Serebriansk Forest area.
  • On the Siversk Direction, units of the 106th Airborne Division attempted to dislodge the Ukrainian Defense Forces in the eastern, southern, and western parts of Rozdolivka, capturing 50% of the settlement. Russian forces also attacked in the areas of Verkhnyokamianske, Spirne, and Vyimka.
  • On the Kramatorsk direction, units of the 98th Airborne Division advanced north of the “Novyi” and “Kanal” neighborhoods. Russian forces continued assaults in the areas of Hryhorivka, Ivanivske, Klishchiivka, and Andriivka.
  • On the Toretsk direction, Russian forces advanced along Zelena, Myru, Kutuzova, and Kyivska streets on the eastern outskirts of Pivnichne, controlling half of Pivdenne. Battles are ongoing on the outskirts of Zalizne. The enemy continues to advance along the Shyroka Balka – New York line.
  • On the Pokrovsk direction, Russian troops captured Novooleksandrivka, securing its western outskirts, and Yasnobrodivka, advancing towards Vozdvyzhenka and 300 meters into the eastern part of Sokil. They reached the outskirts of Yevhenivka and continued their advance in the areas of Oleksandropil, Arkhanhelske, Novokalynove, Novopokrovske, Novoselivka Persha, Umanske, Netaylove, Karlivka, and Nevelske.
  • On the Kurakhove direction, Russian forces made minor advances within western Krasnohorivka, southwest of Novomykhailivka, and south of Kostyantynivka. They continued operations in the areas of Krasnohorivka, Heorhiivka, and Paraskoviivka.
  • On the Vremivka direction, units of the 60th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 5th Army Corps repelled several counterattacks by the Ukrainian Defense Forces north of Staromayorske.
  • On the Orikhiv direction, Russian forces advanced northeast of Robotyne, with ongoing battles near Robotyne and Mala Tokmachka.
  • On the Prydniprovskiy direction, positional battles continued on the left bank of Kherson Oblast, including near Krynky and on the islands in the Dnipro River delta.
  • In the Black Sea-Azov naval operational area, the enemy naval group on combat duty consists of:
    • Black Sea: 1 ship, including 1 cruise missile carrier; the total salvo is 0 cruise missiles.
    • Azov Sea: 6 ships, including 2 cruise missile carriers; the total salvo is 12 cruise missiles.
    • Mediterranean Sea: 0 ship, including 0 cruise missile carrier; the total salvo is 0 cruise missiles.  

Changes in the enemy disposition:

  • The Russian military command is attempting to withdraw combat-capable units from the Vovchansk area, including the 11th Tank Regiment of the 18th Motorized Rifle Division of the 11th Army Corps and the 83rd Separate Air Assault Brigade of the Russian Airborne Forces. The 25th Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 6th Combined Arms Army has lost combat capability on this direction and is also being withdrawn for recovery.
  • The 6th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 2nd Army Corps is operating on the Siversk direction, while the 123rd Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 2nd Army Corps is in the Vyimka area.
  • The 132nd Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 1st Army Corps, reinforced by the 1st and 1436th Motorized Rifle Regiments of the Territorial Troops, is operating on the Toretsk direction.
  • The 40th Separate Marines Brigade of the Pacific Fleet is active near Prechystivka, and the 57th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 5th Combined Arms Army is operating near Vuhledar.
  • In the Prydniprovskiy direction, the 1152nd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 47th Motorized Rifle Division of the 18th Combined Arms Army has been withdrawn for recovery. 49 personnel remained in the regiment. The 24th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 70th Motorized Rifle Division of the 18th Combined Arms Army continues to operate on the Kherson direction.

Possible operation situation developments:

  • The goal of enemy’s tactical grouping on the Toretsk direction is to capture Toretsk and New York, to force Ukrainian Defense Forces units out of their positions in Oleksandropil, to advance north and reach Kostyantynivka, while simultaneously forcing Ukrainian Defense Forces units to retreat from Klishchiivka and Andriivka under the threat of encirclement.
  • The command of the enemy’s “Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping is increasing efforts in the direction of Zalizne and northward along the Siversky Donets-Donbas canal.
  • The ” Tsentr ” Operational Grouping will likely increase its efforts in the general direction of Mayorsk-Pivnichne, with part of its forces targeting either Zalizne or Pivdenne. Simultaneously, they will attack forward positions of the Ukrainian Defense Forces along the Kalynove-Stara Mykolaivka and Oleksandropil-Panteleimonivka directions. This development would require additional forces and resources from the enemy’s South-Western Theater of Operations to support the “Tsentr ” Operational Grouping. However, this is unlikely given the concurrent attempts by the “Tsentr” Operational Grouping to turn tactical successes in the Ocheretyne area into operational gains.
  • The 74th and 55th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigades of the 41st Army, the 15th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 2nd Army, and the 114th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 1st Army Corps, reinforced by several regiments and battalions from territorial troops and mobilization reserves, will soon attempt to break through Vozdvyzhenka towards the Pokrovsk – Kostyantynivka road. Their goal is to cut it off between Malynivka and Nova Poltavka, reach the Vovcha River between Prohres and Komyshivka, and, if conditions allow, establish several bridgeheads.
  • The enemy will increase the intensity of attacks in the direction of Sokil – Yevhenivka – Vovche, aiming to break through to the Prohres area and thus support from the north the operations of their tactical group preparing for battles for Novoselivka Persha.
  • The fighting in the Staromayorske area is a diversionary action aimed at forming a strike tactical group of 3-4 brigades and 1-2 regiments in the Mykilske-Novodonetske sector. The likely objective of this tactical group could be to break through the Kashlahach River in the Uspenivka area simultaneously with the “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping’s advance towards Kurakhove.

Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 24.06.24  

Personnel – almost 535,660 (+1300); 

Tanks 8,031 (+12);

Armored combat vehicles – 15,413 (+15); 

Artillery systems – 14,246 (+51);

Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,108 (0);

Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 863 (0);

Vehicles and fuel tanks – 19,304 (+56);

Aircraft – 359 (0);

Helicopters – 326 (0);

UAV operational and tactical level – 11,382 (+27);

Intercepted cruise missiles – 2,323 (+2);

Boats/ships – 29 (0).


  • According to information provided by the Situation Center of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, Russian forces shelled 10 regions of Ukraine over the past day. A total of 95 towns and villages and 231 infrastructure objects were attacked with various types of weapons. The number of casualties is being updated/clarified.
  • As a result of the missile attack on Kyiv Oblast that occurred on Sunday night, 72 private houses and apartments in 8 multi-story buildings, a hospital, and 13 other buildings were damaged in the Obukhiv district.
  • The enemy shelled the village of Verkhnya Tersa in the Polohy district of Zaporizhzhia Oblast, damaging homes of civilians. A woman who was working in her yard was injured.
  • On the morning of June 24, Russian occupiers struck Odesa with two cruise missiles, likely “Iskander-K”. Air defense prevented one missile from reaching its target. The strike hit civilian infrastructure, injuring 4 people.
  • Today, around 10 a.m., a Russian strike on Toretsk in Donetsk Oblast killed one person and injured another.
  • On June 24, the Russian army shelled the village of Havrylivka in Kherson Oblast. A 71-year-old woman died in her home due to the attack, and a 63-year-old man was injured.
  • On June 24, the occupiers struck Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast with two “Iskander-M” missiles. They hit a civilian infrastructure facility and a residential area. As a result of the attack, 5 people were killed, and 41 were injured.
  • Due to Russian artillery and kamikaze drone attacks on Monday, June 23 in Nikopol, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, four civilians were injured.
  • Due to the mine danger and constant Russian shelling that threaten the health and lives of people, travel to the villages of Borshchova, Slobozhanske, and Lyptsi in Kharkiv Oblast is suspended from June 25, the administration of the Lyptsi community reported.
  • Due to significant damage to energy facilities from Russian shelling, consumers in some districts of Kherson, particularly the Korabelnyi district, and some surrounding villages have been without power for several days.

Centre for Defence Strategies (CDS) is a Ukrainian security think tank. We operate since 2020.

We publish this brief daily. If you would like to subscribe, please send us an email at cds.dailybrief@gmail.com

The CDC Daily Brief is produced with the support of the Kyiv School of Economics https://kse.ua/

Please note, that we subscribe only verified persons and can decline or cancel the subscription at our own discretion

We are an independent, non-government, non-partisan, and non-profit organization. More at www.defence.org.ua

Our Twitter (in English) – https://twitter.com/defence_centre

Our Facebook (in Ukrainian) – https://www.facebook.com/cds.UA

Our brief is for information only and we verify our information to the best possible extent