Центр оборонних стратегій

Russia’s war on Ukraine. 25.06.2024

In the operational zone of the Ukrainian Operational Group of Forces (OTG) “Kharkiv” on the Kharkiv direction, 6 enemy attacks on Ukrainian defense positions near Vovchansk and Lyptsi were unsuccessful.

In the “Khortytsia” Operational-Strategic Group of Forces (OSG) operational zone on the Kupyansk direction, 7 enemy attacks were repelled near Synkivka, Stelmakhivka, and Pishchane, with ongoing battles near Stepova Novoselivka. On the Lyman direction, enemy activity is concentrated near Kopanky, Hrekivka, Makiivka, Nevske, Terny, Torske, and the Serebriansk Forest, with over 20 enemy attempts repelled. The number of engagements on the Siversk direction increased to 22, with 20 attacks repelled near Bilohorivka, Verkhnyokamianske, Vyimka, and Rozdolivka. On the Kramatorsk direction, 9 assaults were repelled near Kalynivka, Chasiv Yar, Ivanivske, and Klishchiivka. On the Toretsk direction, 8 out of 9 enemy attacks were repelled near Pivdenne, Pivnichne, and Toretsk. The situation remains tense.

In the “Tavriya” OSG operational zone the hottest spot is the Pokrovsk direction, where the aggressor persistently tries to break through the Ukrainian defenses. The occupiers attacked 45 times in the areas of Oleksandropil, Yevhenivka, Novooleksandrivka, Vozdvyzhenka, Sokil, Novoselivka Persha and Umanske. Ukrainian Defense Forces are taking measures to exhaust Russian troops and prevent them from advancing deep into the territory of Ukraine. On the Kurakhove direction, enemy assaults were unsuccessful near Karlivka, Krasnohorivka, and Paraskoviivka. On the Shakhtarsk direction, the enemy attempted 4 assaults near Urozhaine.

In the operational zone of the “Odesa” OSG on the Prydniprovskiy direction, the enemy made 5 attempts to displace Ukrainian Defense Forces on the left bank of the Dnipro River.

On other directions, the situation remains largely unchanged.

General conclusion: 

  • The enemy’s “Center” Operational Grouping is increasing efforts on the Vozdvyzhenka and Yevhenivka directions.
  • The “Vostok (East)” Operational Grouping has made advances in the Novomykhailivka – Volodymyrivka sector.
  • “Tavriya” OSG effectively uses landmines on the Orikhiv direction.

Change in the line of contact (LoC):

  • There were 135 combat engagements on various fronts.
  • On the Kharkiv direction, the Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked in the northeastern part of Vovchansk and regained control over positions along Khiloborobiv Street, successfully counterattacked in the center of Starytsya, near Hlyboke, and in the direction of Lyptsi.
  • On the Kupyansk direction, Russian troops attacked near Synkivka, Pishchane, Stelmakhivka, near Kopanky, advanced 800 meters west of Novovodyane, improved their tactical position near Ivanivka, south of Vilshana, near Novoselivka, and east of Stelmakhivka.
  • On the Lyman direction, fighting continued near Hrekivka, Makiivka, Nevske, Torske, and in the area of the Serebriansk Forest.
  • On the Siversk Direction, units of the enemy’s 119th Airborne Regiment of the 106th Airborne Division reached the southeastern outskirts of Rozdolivka. Fighting continued near Verkhnyokamianske, Bilohorivka, and Vyimka.
  • On the Kramatorsk direction, Russian troops advanced in the area between Chasiv Yar and Kalynivka and in the direction of the Siversky Donets-Donbas canal from Ivanivske. Fighting continued near Chasiv Yar, in the “Kanal” neighborhood, near Ivanivske and Kalynivka.
  • On the Toretsk direction, Russian troops advanced east of Druzhba, attacking near Pivnichne, Pivdenne, and New York.
  • On the Pokrovsk direction, Russian troops advanced north of Novooleksandrivka, capturing most of it, up to 700 meters deep in the center of Sokol, in eastern Yevhenivka, continuing to advance in the area of Vozdvyzhenka, Oleksandropil, Novoselivka Persha, Novoprokovske, Ocheretyne, Karlivka, and Netaylove.
  • On the Kurakhove direction, the Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled an enemy attack near Pobieda. Russian troops advanced within Krasnohorivka, north of Volodymyrivka. Fighting also continued near Heorhiivka, Paraskoviivka, and Kostyantynivka.
  • On the Vremivka direction, Russian troops unsuccessfully attacked near Urozhaine and Staromayorske.
  • On the Orikhiv direction, Russian troops continued their offensive near Mala Tokmachka, positional battles continued near Robotyne and northwest of Verbove. The enemy attacked near Novopokrovka.
  • On the Prydniprovskiy direction, positional battles continued on the left bank of Kherson Oblast near Krynky. Russian troops captured several islands in the Dnipro River delta.
  • In the Black Sea-Azov naval operational area, the enemy naval group on combat duty consists of:
    • Black Sea: 1 ship, including 1 cruise missile carrier; the total salvo is 0 cruise missiles.
    • Azov Sea: 7 ships, including 2 cruise missile carriers; the total salvo is 16 cruise missiles.
    • Mediterranean Sea: 0 ship, including 0 cruise missile carrier; the total salvo is 0 cruise missiles.  

Changes in the enemy disposition:

  • Operators of UAVs from the 40th Separate Marines Brigade of the Pacific Fleet are active near Prechystivka.
  • Reconnaissance units of the 70th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 42nd Motorized Rifle Division, 58th Combined Arms Army, are operating on the Orikhiv direction. UAV units from the “Lancet” detachment of the “Viking” unit from the 22nd Separate SOF Brigade are active in the direction of Komyshuvakha.

Possible operation situation developments:

  • The goal of enemy’s tactical grouping on the Toretsk direction is to capture Toretsk and New York, to force Ukrainian Defense Forces units out of their positions in Oleksandropil, to advance north and reach Kostyantynivka, while simultaneously forcing Ukrainian Defense Forces units to retreat from Klishchiivka and Andriivka under the threat of encirclement.
  • The command of the enemy’s “Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping is increasing efforts in the direction of Zalizne and northward along the Siversky Donets-Donbas canal.
  • The ” Tsentr ” Operational Grouping will likely increase its efforts in the general direction of Mayorsk-Pivnichne, with part of its forces targeting either Zalizne or Pivdenne. Simultaneously, they will attack forward positions of the Ukrainian Defense Forces along the Kalynove-Stara Mykolaivka and Oleksandropil-Panteleimonivka directions. This development would require additional forces and resources from the enemy’s South-Western Theater of Operations to support the “Tsentr ” Operational Grouping. However, this is unlikely given the concurrent attempts by the “Tsentr” Operational Grouping to turn tactical successes in the Ocheretyne area into operational gains.
  • The 74th and 55th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigades of the 41st Army, the 15th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 2nd Army, and the 114th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 1st Army Corps, reinforced by several regiments and battalions from territorial troops and mobilization reserves, will soon attempt to break through Vozdvyzhenka towards the Pokrovsk – Kostyantynivka road. Their goal is to cut it off between Malynivka and Nova Poltavka, reach the Vovcha River between Prohres and Komyshivka, and, if conditions allow, establish several bridgeheads.
  • The enemy will increase the intensity of attacks in the direction of Sokil – Yevhenivka – Vovche, aiming to break through to the Prohres area and thus support from the north the operations of their tactical group preparing for battles for Novoselivka Persha.
  • The fighting in the Staromayorske area is a diversionary action aimed at forming a strike tactical group of 3-4 brigades and 1-2 regiments in the Mykilske-Novodonetske sector. The likely objective of this tactical group could be to break through the Kashlahach River in the Uspenivka area simultaneously with the “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping’s advance towards Kurakhove.

Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 25.06.24  

Personnel – almost 536,840 (+1180); 

Tanks 8,035 (+4);

Armored combat vehicles – 15,431 (+18); 

Artillery systems – 14,281 (+35);

Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,108 (0);

Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 863 (0);

Vehicles and fuel tanks – 19,362 (+58);

Aircraft – 359 (0);

Helicopters – 326 (0);

UAV operational and tactical level – 11,413 (+31);

Intercepted cruise missiles – 2,324 (+1);

Boats/ships – 29 (0).


  • According to information provided by the Situation Center of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, Russian forces shelled 9 regions of Ukraine over the past day. A total of 85 towns and villages and 152 infrastructure objects were attacked with various types of weapons. The number of casualties is being updated/clarified.
  • In May 2024, the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ CBRN Defense units documented 715 instances of Russian munitions with hazardous chemicals, a 271-case increase from April. Additionally, 215 Ukrainian soldiers sought medical treatment for chemical exposure symptoms.
  • As a result of Russian shelling in Donetsk Oblast on June 24, 7 people were killed and another 49 were injured.
  • Over the past day, Russian forces conducted 2,166 shelling attacks on Donetsk Oblast, resulting in damage to 88 civilian objects.
  • On June 24, Russia attacked the railway infrastructure of Donetsk Oblast. As a result of enemy shelling, two railway workers were injured, and infrastructure and rolling stock in Pokrovsk were damaged.
  • Due to morning Russian shelling in Toretsk and Zolota Nyva in Donetsk Oblast, a woman born in 1957 was killed, and 4 other people were injured.
  • On June 25, Russian forces struck a residential quarter in Dniprovskyi district of Kherson, resulting in injuries to two men.
  • In the evening of June 25, Russian military forces struck the village of Bobrivka in the Vilkhovka community in Kharkiv Oblast with at least four glide bombs (KABs). Four people were injured, two of whom were hospitalized.
  • Since January 1, 2024, Russian occupiers have launched 2,277 Shahed-type combat drones over Ukrainian territory, and air defense forces have destroyed approximately 86% of them — 1,953 UAVs.
  • A center for “ethno-political rehabilitation” has been established in Donetsk University in occupied Donets. It is aimed at “re-educating” Ukrainian children, as reported by the Center for National Resistance. According to the center’s head Yuriy Nikolaiev, “We won’t be able to re-educate Ukrainian nationalists, but their children — that’s our task.”

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