Центр оборонних стратегій

Russia’s war on Ukraine. 27.06.2024

In the operational zone of the Ukrainian Operational Group of Forces (OTG) “Kharkiv” on the Kharkiv direction, the occupiers launched 10 assaults with air support on the positions of Ukrainian Defense Forces in the areas of Vovchansk, Lyptsi, Sotnytskyi Kozachok, and Hlyboke.

In the “Khortytsia” Operational-Strategic Group of Forces (OSG) operational zone the enemy attacked eight times on the Kupyansk direction. Near Stepova Novoselivka, Synkivka, Stelmakhivka, and Berestove, Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled 6 attacks. The situation is tense, with ongoing battles near Synkivka and Stepova Novoselivka. On theLyman direction, Russian forces launched 18 unsuccessful attacks, focusing their efforts near Makiivka and Nevske, which accounted for about 80% of all attacks. The situation is also tense on the Siversk direction, with the enemy attempting 11 times to displace Ukrainian Defense Forces from positions in the areas of Bilohorivka, Spirne, and Rozdolivka. On the Kramatorsk direction all attempts by the invaders to advance near Chasiv Yar and Klishchiivka failed. On the Toretsk direction, where the occupiers attacked 9 times near Shumy, Toretsk, Dachne, and Pivnichne, fighting continues.

In the “Tavriya” OSG operational zone the enemy is intensely attacking onthe Pokrovsk direction, with 37 attacks carried out. The highest activity of Russian occupiers emanates from the area of Ocheretyne, where the enemy tries to penetrate the Ukrainian Defense Forces’ positions in various directions. Ukrainian defenders have already repelled 29 attacks, with ongoing battles near Yevhenivka and Novooleksandrivka. On the Kurakhove direction, the enemy unsuccessfully attacked 8 times, attempting to advance in the areas of Nevelske, Heorhiivka, Paraskoviivka, and Kostyantynivka. The battle near Krasnohorivka continues.

On other directions, the situation remains largely unchanged.

General conclusion: 

  • The Ukrainian Defense Forces hold the initiative on the Kharkiv direction and are close to seizing it in the Chasiv Yar area.
  • On the Lyman direction, Russian troops advance exclusively in small infantry groups without armored support. Groups attack sequentially, with the main force following the assault group, ready to consolidate gained positions.
  • On the Kramatorsk direction, Russian troops use fewer armored vehicles and artillery, primarily attacking with infantry groups supported by mortar fire.
  • Russian fire raids complicate the rotation and supply of Ukrainian troops near Chasiv Yar.
  • On the Pokrovsk direction, Russian troops attack with infantry units equipped with electronic warfare systems to counter UAVs.
  • Over the past two weeks, Russian forces have intensified their airstrikes with UMPC -equipped KAB bombs on targets on the right bank of Kherson Oblast.

Change in the line of contact (LoC):

  • ·       There were 116 combat engagements on various fronts.
  • ·       On the Kharkiv direction, the Ukrainian Defense Forces continue to block up to a battalion of Russian troops at the Vovchansk Aggregate Producing Plant. Fighting continued in Vovchansk and its outskirts, near Tykhe, and close to Hlyboke.
  • On the Kupyansk direction, the 25th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 6th Combined Arms Army advanced along the forest strip northeast of Petropavlivka. Russian forces entered the eastern part of Stelmakhivka and continued offensive actions near Synkivka, Berestove, Stepova Novoselivka, Pishchane, Stelmakhivka, Andriivka, and Kopanky.
  • On the Lyman direction, fighting continued near Makiivka, Hrekivka, Nevske, Torske, Terny, and in the Seredyno-Buda forest area.
  • On the Siversk Direction, Russian forces continued to advance within Rozdolivka and attacked near Bilohorivka, Verkhnyokamianske, Spirne, and Vyimka.
  • On the Kramatorsk direction, Russian forces continued attacks within the eastern outskirts of Chasiv Yar and near Ivanivske, Klishchiivka, and Andriivka.
  • On the Toretsk direction, Russian forces advanced up to 2 km from Mayorske to Druzhba, attacked New York from the south, advanced 500 m near Pivnichne, and attacked near Zalizne and Dachne.
  • On the Pokrovsk direction, Russian forces advanced 900 m from Novooleksandrivka towards Vozdvyzhenka, up to 500 m north of Sokil, on both sides of the Karlivka Reservoir, and continued offensives near Prohres, Yevhenivka, Novoselivka Persha, Yasnobrodivka, and Karlivka.
  • On the Kurakhove direction, Russian forces continued to advance within the western and central parts of Krasnohorivka, south of Novomykhailivka towards the T0524 highway (Kostyantynivka – Vuhledar), and attacked Heorhiivka, Kostyantynivka, and Paraskoviivka.
  • On the Vremivka direction, Russian forces continued shelling near Urozhaine and Staromayorske.
  • On the Orikhiv direction, Russian forces made slight advances northwest of Robotyne, by 400 m near Mala Tokmachka, and continued assaults near Robotyne, Mala Tokmachka, and northeast of Verbove.
  • On the Prydniprovskiy direction, Russian forces continued attacks on the left bank of Kherson Oblast near Krynky and on islands in the Dnipro River delta.
  • Over the past two days, Ukrainian Defense Forces destroyed 10 Russian boats.
  • In the Black Sea-Azov naval operational area, the enemy naval group on combat duty consists of:
    • Black Sea: 1 ship, including 1 cruise missile carrier; the total salvo is 0 cruise missiles.
    • Azov Sea: 7 ships, including 2 cruise missile carriers; the total salvo is 16 cruise missiles.
    • Mediterranean Sea: 4 ships, including 3 cruise missile carriers; the total salvo is 20 cruise missiles.  

Changes in the enemy disposition:

  • The “Somali” Separate Assault Battalion of the 1st Army Corps is engaged in combat Near Karlivka, and the “Vega” special forces unit from the 24th Separate SOF Brigade is active on the Avdiivka direction.
  • The 68th Army Corps of the enemy is fighting near Kostyantynivka.
  • The 26th Chemical, Biological, Radiological, and Nuclear Defense Regiment of the 36th Army is striking targets in Urozhaine with heavy flamethrower systems.

Possible operation situation developments:

  • The goal of enemy’s tactical grouping on the Toretsk direction is to capture Toretsk and New York, to force Ukrainian Defense Forces units out of their positions in Oleksandropil, to advance north and reach Kostyantynivka, while simultaneously forcing Ukrainian Defense Forces units to retreat from Klishchiivka and Andriivka under the threat of encirclement.
  • The command of the enemy’s “Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping is increasing efforts in the direction of Zalizne and northward along the Siversky Donets-Donbas canal.
  • The ” Tsentr ” Operational Grouping will likely increase its efforts in the general direction of Mayorsk-Pivnichne, with part of its forces targeting either Zalizne or Pivdenne. Simultaneously, they will attack forward positions of the Ukrainian Defense Forces along the Kalynove-Stara Mykolaivka and Oleksandropil-Panteleimonivka directions. This development would require additional forces and resources from the enemy’s South-Western Theater of Operations to support the “Tsentr ” Operational Grouping. However, this is unlikely given the concurrent attempts by the “Tsentr” Operational Grouping to turn tactical successes in the Ocheretyne area into operational gains.
  • The 74th and 55th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigades of the 41st Army, the 15th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 2nd Army, and the 114th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 1st Army Corps, reinforced by several regiments and battalions from territorial troops and mobilization reserves, will soon attempt to break through Vozdvyzhenka towards the Pokrovsk – Kostyantynivka road. Their goal is to cut it off between Malynivka and Nova Poltavka, reach the Vovcha River between Prohres and Komyshivka, and, if conditions allow, establish several bridgeheads.
  • The enemy will increase the intensity of attacks in the direction of Sokil – Yevhenivka – Vovche, aiming to break through to the Prohres area and thus support from the north the operations of their tactical group preparing for battles for Novoselivka Persha.
  • The fighting in the Staromayorske area is a diversionary action aimed at forming a strike tactical group of 3-4 brigades and 1-2 regiments in the Mykilske-Novodonetske sector. The likely objective of this tactical group could be to break through the Kashlahach River in the Uspenivka area simultaneously with the “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping’s advance towards Kurakhove.

Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 27.06.24  

Personnel – almost 539,320 (+1260); 

Tanks 8,042 (+3);

Armored combat vehicles – 15,459 (+9); 

Artillery systems – 14,363 (+42);

Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,108 (0);

Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 868 (+5);

Vehicles and fuel tanks – 19,468 (+61);

Aircraft – 359 (0);

Helicopters – 326 (0);

UAV operational and tactical level – 11,459 (+24);

Intercepted cruise missiles – 2,324 (0);

Boats/ships – 29 (0).


  • According to information provided by the Situation Center of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, Russian forces shelled 12 regions of Ukraine over the past day. A total of 134 towns and villages and 259 infrastructure objects were attacked with various types of weapons. The number of casualties is being updated/clarified.
  • In the night of June 27, Ukrainian aid defense forces shot down 5 out of 6 missiles launched by the occupiers and all drones deployed by the enemy – 23 “Shahed” UAVs. The defenders failed to intercept only one hypersonic “Kinzhal” missile.
  • On June 27, Russian occupiers attacked a civilian car in Novovorontsovka, Kherson region, with an FPV drone, injuring a 62-year-old man and a woman. In another FPV drone attack on the same village, an ambulance and a private car were damaged. Medical personnel were unhurt but the car driver sustained injuries.
  • On the morning of June 27, Russian forces attacked Toretsk in the Donetsk region, killing one person and injuring ten others.
  • On June 27, during the day, Russian foces struck Kharkiv, hitting private residential buildings and damaging a dormitory of an educational institution. Four people were injured.
  • In the evening of June 27, Russian military shelled several houses of civilians in the village of Varvarivka, Polohy district, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, resulting in injuries to two local residents.
  • The massive nighttime enemy attack did not damage energy facilities, according to the press service of the Ministry of Energy of Ukraine. However, due to ongoing fighting throughout the day, new power outages occurred in frontline regions: Kharkiv, Donetsk, and Kherson Oblasts.
  • On Friday, June 28, hourly power outage schedules will be implemented throughout the day from 00:00 to 24:00 in all territory of Ukraine.
  • Volodymyr Kudrytskyi, the chairman of the board of NEC “Ukrenergo,” stated that Ukrainian specialists are considering several winter scenarios but are preparing for the worst: The pessimistic scenario involves continued massive shelling, resulting in certain energy facilities being rendered inoperative. In such a case, there will be less available generation capacity in winter than planned. The optimistic scenario assumes fewer successful enemy strikes or a higher restoration rate of energy facilities than expected, resulting in fewer outages.
  • DTEK’s executive director, Dmytro Sakharuk, noted that the shortage of air defense missiles makes it impossible to cover the energy system facilities that Ukraine has already repaired or is currently repairing. For every interceptor missile Ukraine has to protect against Russian strikes on the energy system, Russia has five to six missiles to launch at Ukraine.

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